Atalanta vs Pafos FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

Atalanta
15/10/2026 15:00
Pafos FC

Prediction :

 

Draw or Pafos FC

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions

Atalanta’s debut in the main draw of the UEFA Conference League sees them host a tricky Pafos side that has punched above its weight lately. This matchday one fixture of the league phase in this competition on Thursday at New Balance Arena in Bergamo between ‘La Dea’ and the Cypriots could surprise the home team with a draw or Pafos win, our match prediction.

Atalanta started in the playoff round and defeated Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 on aggregate to reach the main draw. Pafos started in the second qualifying round of the Europa League but lost in the third qualifying round and dropped to the playoff round, where they defeated Dinamo City 5-3 on aggregate.

A 3-1 home victory over Venezia saw Atalanta end a two-game losing run. La Dea will be cautiously optimistic ahead of their Conference League main draw debut, although three wins from their last four home games (L1) make them strong favourites.

Pafos won 3-1 away at Anorthosis in the Cyprus League, making it a fourth victory during regulation time in their last six matches (D1, L1). They also have won their last four away matches, but having failed to win their last eight trips in European competition (D4, L4), Pafos have a tough task to improve on the road.

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Atalanta v Pafos FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.33 5.40 8.00
1xbet
1.42 4.81 8.15
Melbet
1.39 4.72 8.00
Betwinner
1.39 4.72 8.00
22bet
1.39 4.72 8.00
Check all Atalanta vs Pafos FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Pafos FC?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Pafos FC match is: draw or Pafos FC.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2026 between Atalanta and Pafos FC in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.96% for a win of Atalanta against Pafos FC with odds of 1.42 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Pafos FC is 17.18% with odds of 5.4 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Pafos FC vs Atalanta with odds of 8.3 at Betsson.

Atalanta vs Pafos FC Form

Atalanta and Pafos FC Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
D L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Atalanta

22 May 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta
Pafos FC
Pafos FC Last matches
W W D W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Anorthosis Famagusta
1 :  3
Pafos FC

18 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  2
AEL Limassol

13 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca
0 :  1
Pafos FC

7 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  0
Olympiakos Nicosia

3 Sept 2026 - Super Cup

AC Omonia Nicosia
0 :  1
Pafos FC

30 Aug 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Karmiotissa FC
0 :  3
Pafos FC
L W D W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  2
AEL Limassol

7 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  0
Olympiakos Nicosia

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Pafos FC
4 :  2
FC Dinamo City

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Pafos FC
3 :  3
Salzburg

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Pafos FC
4 :  0
Hajduk Split

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Pafos FC
0 :  1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Anorthosis Famagusta
1 :  3
Pafos FC

13 Sept 2026 - Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca
0 :  1
Pafos FC

3 Sept 2026 - Super Cup

AC Omonia Nicosia
0 :  1
Pafos FC

30 Aug 2026 - Cypriot First Division

Karmiotissa FC
0 :  3
Pafos FC

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

FC Dinamo City
1 :  1
Pafos FC

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Salzburg
1 :  0
Pafos FC
Atalanta vs Pafos FC Prediction

Players list

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

Defender

R. Bellanova

T. Kristensen

G. Scalvini

D. Zappacosta

Midfielder

F. Kessie

E. Silva

E. Elmas

Forward

C. De Ketelaere

J. Rowe

N. Krstovic

Pafos FC
Pafos FC
Goalkeeper

R. Majecki

Defender

S. Mmaee

N. Ioannou

Y. Zague

D. Luiz

Midfielder

V. Dragomir

Pepe

I. Sunjic

D. Quina

Forward

Lele

Biel

Substitutes

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sonzogni

M. Sportiello

Defender

S. Kolasinac

L. Bernasconi

R. Obric

Midfielder

J. Idele

M. Pasalic

G. Gaetano

N. Zalewski

L. Samardzic

Forward

G. Scamacca

G. Raspadori

Pafos FC
Pafos FC
Goalkeeper

P. Petrou

M. Papastylianou

Defender

J. Correia

K. Ioannou

J. Noro

Midfielder

A. Brito

Guga

K. Sema

C. Efzona

Forward

Bruno

A. Cruz Patrao

Anderson

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

T. Pompei

Defender

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

Forward

K. Sulemana

Pafos FC
Pafos FC

Atalanta and Pafos FC Stats in Conference League

Atalanta
Atalanta
Pafos FC
Pafos FC
50%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
0%
50%
Draws
50%
0.5
Average goals per match
4
0.5
Goals scored per match
2.5
0
Goals conceded per match
1.5
100%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
100%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
100%

Atalanta - Pafos FC Key Points

  1. Atalanta have lost three of their last four matches.
  2. Atalanta have failed to win six of their last eight matches in UEFA competitions.
  3. Pafos avoided defeat in eight of their last nine matches.
  4. Pafos remained undefeated in nine of their last 14 matches in UEFA competitions.
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Our Atalanta vs Pafos FC Prediction

Atalanta had a timely win at the weekend in Serie A to bounce back from three consecutive defeats. As they make their debut in the main draw of the Conference League, La Dea can’t take Pafos for granted. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five trips, although three winless games in Europe immediately prior is a sign of their concerns.

Atalanta are heavy favourites to win, but Pafos have been stubborn in Europe and can keep them quiet. We are backing a surprise here and our Atalanta vs Pafos FC prediction is draw or Pafos FC.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Pafos FC

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.