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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
In an inconsequential match between the bottom two teams of Group H of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualification UEFA section, San Marino hosts Cyprus on Sunday. This match at the San Marino Stadium between the fifth-placed La Serenissima and the fourth-placed visitors comes with our prediction of Cyprus -2 European Handicap.
Ahead of this round, San Marino are bottom of the group standings with six defeats out of six. They are out of the qualification race but may still qualify for a play-off spot based on Nations League ranking. Cyprus have five points (W1, D2, L3) and can’t finish in the top two.
San Marino were thrashed 10-0 away by Austria on Thursday for a 59th consecutive loss in World Cup qualification campaigns. That result also extended their poor defensive record, as the hosts have conceded 28 goals in six qualifiers of this campaign.
Cyprus held Bosnia to a 2-2 home draw on Thursday but are out of the race for qualification. This was a second 2-2 draw for the visitors following the same result at home against Romania.
Their last two trips in this campaign ended in defeats without scoring, as they lost to Austria and Romania. In fact, they have lost five of their last six internationals away from home (D1, L5), but playing San Marino could be a boost.
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The Best Betting Odds for San Marino v Cyprus Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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11 | 6.25 | 1.25 |
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13 | 6 | 1.22 |
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12 | 5 | 1.22 |
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11 | 5.25 | 1.22 |
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10 | 5.3 | 1.26 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between San Marino and Cyprus?
Our prediction for the San Marino vs Cyprus match is: Cyprus -2 European handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2025 between San Marino and Cyprus in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.48% for a win of San Marino against Cyprus with odds of 13.5 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between San Marino vs Cyprus is 18.31% with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Cyprus vs San Marino with odds of 1.31 at 22bet.
San Marino vs Cyprus Form
San Marino and Cyprus's standings in the World Cup
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
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4
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5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
5
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0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -27 |
San Marino and Cyprus Last Matches

0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
San Marino vs Cyprus Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2019 - Euro
San Marino vs Cyprus last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists




San Marino - Cyprus Key Points
- San Marino lost their recent eight matches.
- San Marino lost by a 3+ goal margin in four of their last five matches.
- San Marino conceded 28 goals in six matches in these qualifiers at an average of 4.67 per match.
- Cyprus scored two goals in four of their last seven matches.
- Cyprus won their last eight matches against San Marino, scoring at least four goals in three of the recent four.
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Our San Marino vs Cyprus Prediction
It’s a battle of the bottom two teams, and the result has no consequence in the qualification battle. Yet, Cyprus will be wary of being the team that lands San Marino’s first point of this campaign. The hosts have already conceded 28 goals, and anything less than four here will be a morale booster. Cyprus can at best finish third and will hope to keep the goals coming.
This game could extend the hosts’ agony, and our San Marino vs Cyprus prediction is Cyprus -2 European handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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