Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey

Spain - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
26/02/2025 15:30
Real Madrid

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

Real Sociedad will look to make home advantage count in the first leg of the Copa del Rey semi-finals on Wednesday. This match at the Reale Arena in San Sebastián comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

La Real advanced to this round after defeating Rayo Vallecano (3-1) and Osasuna (2-0) in their last two rounds, both at home. Los Blancos needed extra time to defeat Celta Vigo (5-2) before an away 3-2 win at Leganes in the previous round.

Sociedad won 3-0 at home against Leganes at the weekend for their fifth win in six competitive matches. They are still outside the top six in La Liga and will view this competition as a chance to enter the Europa League.

Sociedad won 11 of their last 13 home matches in all competitions, losing just once. Madrid will look to add to that loss count, having already won 2-0 at this venue in this season in the league.

Madrid also won 2-0 at home against Girona at the weekend, but it was just their fourth win in seven matches. Los Blancos have a score to settle in this competition, having reached the final only once in the last ten seasons.

On the road too, Madrid won two of their last four, drawing and losing one each.

Several Real Madrid players will be absent this evening, namely Courtois, Mbappé and Valverde. These are three key absentees for this match.

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Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Form

Real Sociedad and Real Madrid Last Matches

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Leganés

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
5 :  2
FC Midtjylland

16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  0
Real Sociedad

13 Feb 2025 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
1 :  2
Real Sociedad

9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Espanyol

6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Osasuna
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Leganés

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
5 :  2
FC Midtjylland

9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Espanyol

6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Osasuna

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Getafe
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  0
Real Sociedad

13 Feb 2025 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
1 :  2
Real Sociedad

2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

23 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Lazio
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ponferradina
0 :  2
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

19 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

11 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

19 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Salzburg

19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Las Palmas

16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
5 :  2
Celta Vigo
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

11 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid

5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  0
Real Madrid

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Brest
0 :  3
Real Madrid

25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Sociedad

17 %

Draw

17 %

Real Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

14 Sept 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  2
Real Madrid

26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

17 Sept 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

2 May 2023 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Real Madrid

29 Jan 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Real Sociedad

5 Mar 2022 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Real Sociedad

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Remiro
19
J. Aramburu
5
I. Zubeldia
21
N. Aguerd
3
A. Munoz
24
L. Sucic
4
M. Zubimendi
23
B. Mendez
14
T. Kubo
10
M. Oyarzabal
7
A. Barrenetxea
7
Vinicius Junior
16
Endrick
5
J. Bellingham
19
D. Ceballos
6
E. Camavinga
15
A. Guler
20
F. Garcia
22
A. Rudiger
14
A. Tchouameni
35
R. Asencio
13
A. Lunin

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper

U. Marrero

Defender

J. Lopez

A. Munoz 84'

J. Martin

A. Elustondo

N. Aguerd 77'

H. Traore

Midfielder

B. Turrientes

J. Olasagasti

P. Marin

L. Sucic 64'

Forward

O. Oskarsson

M. Oyarzabal 77'

S. Gomez

S. Becker

A. Barrenetxea 64'

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

F. Gonzalez

S. Mestre

Defender

F. Mendy

E. Camavinga 88'

L. Vazquez

R. Asencio 46'

D. Alaba

Endrick 72'

Midfielder

Chema Andres

L. Modric

Forward

Rodrygo

A. Guler 84'

G. Garcia

B. Diaz

Missing players

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

J. Pacheco

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

E. Militao

Real Sociedad - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. In nine of their last 15 home matches in all competitions, Sociedad saw under 2.5 goals produced.
  2. Madrid won 2-0 at this venue earlier in the season, in the league competition.
  3. Seven of the last nine matches between Sociedad and Madrid produced fewer than three goals.
  4. In 12 of their last 15 matches in the Copa del Rey, Sociedad have seen two or fewer goals scored.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction

Historically, Sociedad have a 5-2 win-loss record against Madrid in Copa del Rey. While most of those were played in the 1990s, the latest was in 2019/20, when Sociedad won 4-3 in the quarter-finals. The hosts have been in impressive form at this venue, winning 11 of their last 13 matches here in all competitions. Madrid have already won once at this venue this season and have been steady in their recent results, without being spectacular. This could be a low scorer, and our Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction