Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions
Real Sociedad will be desperate to kickstart their UEFA Europa League (UEL) campaign when they face Lyon on matchday four, with both teams in the mid-table and only separated by two points. This match at Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastian on Thursday between the 14th-placed ‘La Real’ and the 12th-placed ‘Les Gones’ could prove to be a high-scoring game with over 2.5 goals, our match prediction.
With four points (W1, D1, L1), Sociedad are three points outside the top eight positions, while Lyon are better-placed and closer than their hosts, with six points (W2, L1).
Sociedad were edged out 2-1 away at Athletic Bilbao in the Basque derby last weekend in La Liga. That was their first defeat, though, in seven games (W5, D1) in all competitions, as the hosts look to carry that form to Europe.
The only draw in that sequence came away at Royale Union on matchday two, while their matchday three 6-0 away victory at Lillestrom is a statement win.
Lyon defeated Angers 2-0 at home over the weekend in Ligue 1, ending a two-game losing streak. One of those defeats (3-0) came at Hoffenheim on UEL matchday three, although they won 3-2 against Crystal Palace and 2-1 away at Anderlecht in the UEL. Yet, three consecutive defeats on the road put pressure on Lyon to improve.
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Real Sociedad v Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.79 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.11 | 4.21 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.02 | 4.12 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.86 | 3.84 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.02 | 4.12 |
|
This match is our lead expert's Pick of the Day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Lyon match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/11/2026 between Real Sociedad and Lyon in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.65% for a win of Real Sociedad against Lyon with odds of 1.87 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Lyon is 27.08% with odds of 4.11 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Real Sociedad with odds of 4.25 at Shangrila.
Real Sociedad vs Lyon Form
Real Sociedad and Lyon's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
14
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 |
Real Sociedad and Lyon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
3 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
7 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
9 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
9 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
Real Sociedad vs Lyon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Fraga
U. Marrero
DefenderA. Munoz
J. Pacheco
H. Fort
MidfielderJ. Ochieng
I. Zubeldia
Y. Herrera
T. Kubo
B. Turrientes
P. Marin
ForwardO. Oskarsson
R. Descamps
DefenderC. Mata
R. Kluivert
N. Tagliafico
MidfielderK. Boudache
C. Sambi Mbungu
K. Merah
N. Nartey
ForwardA. Gomes Rodriguez
Missing players
A. Odriozola
L. Beitia
MidfielderA. Zakharyan
M. Ouedraogo
MidfielderT. Morton
ForwardL. Openda
P. Sulc
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
Lyon
S. Gomez
(3 Goals)
K. Nakamura
(1 Goals)
, 
N. Nartey
(1 Goals)
, 
E. Nuamah
(1 Goals)
, 
C. Tolisso
(1 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(1 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(3 Assists)
K. Nakamura
(2 Assists)
Real Sociedad and Lyon Stats in Europa League
Real Sociedad - Lyon Key Points
- Nine of Sociedad’s last ten matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Ten of Sociedad’s last 14 matches in UEFA competitions have seen at least three goals scored.
- Seven of Lyon’s last ten games in all competitions have produced three or more goals.
- Three of Lyon’s last four matches have produced exactly three goals.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction
Lyon are better-placed than Sociedad to push for a top-eight finish, starting this round only one point behind. Recent form is a concern, though, as they lost two of their last three. Sociedad also lost their latest fixture, but three wins prior to that defeat is a big positive for the hosts to post a victory and move above their hosts.
Five of Sociedad’s last six home competitive matches have seen three or more goals scored, and that pattern could extend. That’s why our Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction is over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
