Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will close the first round of La Liga’s 2025/26 season with a home match against Osasuna. The two sides scheduled to meet on Tuesday will both look at last season's finishes with a view to improve. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
A number of Real Madrid’s competitors have started off with wins, and the hosts hope to avoid a false start here. They had a great run at home last season, winning 16 of 19 in the league, so this shouldn’t be a major concern.
Real Madrid are also unbeaten in 23 matches against Osasuna.
Osasuna couldn't have dreamt of a tougher start to their season. They failed to score in their last two visits here and conceded eight times.
One loss in their closing 10 matches last season wasn’t enough to deliver European football, as they finished ninth. This time the visitors will be eying a stronger run.
Among the issues they have to fix is a poor away form, which at the moment reads one win in their last 14 in the league. Los Rojillos failed to score in six of those 14 away matches, among them a loss to Real Madrid. They managed just two wins in 19 away league games last season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Osasuna Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Osasuna?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Osasuna match is: Real Madrid to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/08/2025 between Real Madrid and Osasuna in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.7% for a win of Real Madrid against Osasuna with odds of 1.26 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Osasuna is 24.62% with odds of 7.4 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Osasuna vs Real Madrid with odds of 14.5 at Melbet.
Real Madrid - Osasuna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Osasuna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 65.7% | 1.26 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.43% | 1.7 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 35.21% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
Real Madrid vs Osasuna Form
Real Madrid and Osasuna's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
|
12
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 |
Real Madrid and Osasuna Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 May 2025 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Osasuna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
7 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
6 May 2023 - Copa del Rey
18 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Osasuna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
A. Rudiger
F. Mendy
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
E. Camavinga
ForwardEndrick
I. Benito
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Osasuna
K. Mbappe
(14 Goals)
A. Budimir
(2 Goals)
A. Guler
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Junior
(4 Assists)
V. Munoz
(1 Assists)
,
R. Garcia
(1 Assists)
,
A. Catena
(1 Assists)
,
J. Moncayola
(1 Assists)
,
V. Rosier
(1 Assists)
Real Madrid - Osasuna Key Points
- Osasuna managed only two away wins in 19 league games last season.
- Real Madrid have 16 wins in their last 19 home league games.
- Osasuna failed to score in their last two visits to Real Madrid.
- Real Madrid won to nil in five of eight league matches.
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Our Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction
Real Madrid have dominated this fixture in the past seasons. They hold a 23-match unbeaten run against Osasuna. Starting their season at home is not the only advantage they will be bringing here, they’ve also had resounding wins when hosting this match.
On the other hand, Osasuna might be targeting a fast start to their season, but a generally poor away run places them as underdogs here. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Osasuna is for Real Madrid to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Osasuna
| Real Madrid vs Osasuna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.25 | 1.2 | -4.0% |
| Draw | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
| Osasuna wins | 12 | 13 | +8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 83.3% (3.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Osasuna game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Real Madrid and Osasuna? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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