Real Madrid vs Levante Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
17/01/2026 08:00
Levante

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and BTTS

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

Real Madrid’s post-Xabi Alonso era didn’t start well and they will hope for some reprieve against struggling Levante in La Liga. Placed second, Real Madrid will be looking to close the gap as 19th placed Levante visits. Read on for our prediction of this match.

After back-to-back cup defeats, Real Madrid will be glad to return to league action. There were changes at the club after falling to Barcelona in the Super Cup final.

Alvaro Arbeloa was appointed manager but his start didn’t reflect Real’s ambitions as they exited the Copa del Rey, beaten 3-2 by Albacete. Last time out in La Liga, they had a resounding 5-1 win at home to Real Betis and will hope for the same here.

Levante will also be desperate for three points here as they look to add fuel to their survival push. They are unbeaten in the last three matches, drawing twice, and will be looking to reap from Real Madrid’s current woes.

After a 3-0 win against Sevilla, the visitors could only play to a 1-1 draw with Espanyol. Six defeats in their last 10 outings, however, paint the picture of a struggling team.

The same can be seen from their placing in the league, Levante being four points adrift of safety. They’ve managed just three wins in the league and lost the last two matches against Madrid.

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Real Madrid v Levante Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.18 8.2 14
Melbet
1.14 9 14
Betwinner
1.16 8.4 13.5
Bet365
1.13 9 15
Roobet
1.15 8.4 14
Check all Real Madrid vs Levante odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Levante?

Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Levante match is: over 2.5 goals and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Real Madrid and Levante in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.39% for a win of Real Madrid against Levante with odds of 1.21 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Levante is 8.56% with odds of 9.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Levante vs Real Madrid with odds of 18 at Shangrila.

Real Madrid - Levante Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Madrid Levante Prediction Probability Odds
Real Madrid wins 64.39% 1.21 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 57.5%
Both Team To Score: No 57.08%
Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid 35.86% 1.55 at LSbet

Real Madrid vs Levante Form

Real Madrid and Levante's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Real Madrid
86 38 27 5 6 +42
16 Levante
42 38 11 9 18 -14

Real Madrid and Levante Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey

Albacete
3 :  2
Real Madrid

11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Betis

20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Sevilla

17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  3
Real Madrid
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Betis

20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Sevilla

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey

Albacete
3 :  2
Real Madrid

11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  3
Real Madrid

14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid

3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid
Levante
Levante Last matches
W L L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  1
Espanyol

4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  3
Levante

20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Cultural Leonesa
1 :  0
Levante

8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Levante

3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Cieza
0 :  1
Levante
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  1
Espanyol

20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  2
Celta Vigo

19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  3
Levante

17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Cultural Leonesa
1 :  0
Levante

8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Levante

3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Cieza
0 :  1
Levante

21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Levante

8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Levante

Real Madrid vs Levante Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

17 %

Levante

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid

12 May 2022 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
6 :  0
Levante

22 Aug 2021 - LaLiga

Levante
3 :  3
Real Madrid

30 Jan 2021 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Levante

4 Oct 2020 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Real Madrid

22 Feb 2020 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid against Levante Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
T. Courtois
8
F. Valverde
17
R. Asencio
24
D. Huijsen
18
A. Carreras
5
J. Bellingham
14
A. Tchouameni
6
E. Camavinga
16
G. Garcia
10
K. Mbappe
7
Vinicius Junior
21
K. Etta
9
I. Romero de Avila Araque
24
C. Alvarez
26
K. Tunde
10
P. Martinez
12
U. Vencedor
23
M. Sanchez
3
A. Matturro
4
A. De La Fuente
22
J. Toljan
13
M. Ryan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Levante

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

F. Gonzalez

S. Mestre

Defender

D. Alaba

R. Asencio 90'

D. Jimenez

D. Carvajal

F. Garcia

Midfielder

C. Palacios

J. Cestero

D. Ceballos

D. Huijsen 61'

Forward

A. Leiva Alemany

A. Guler

E. Camavinga 46'

F. Mastantuono

G. Garcia 46'

Levante
Levante
Goalkeeper

P. Cunat Campos

A. Primo

Defender

M. Krug

N. Perez Gomez

Midfielder

J. Olasagasti

I. Romero de Avila Araque 83'

K. Arriaga

G. Koyalipou

U. Raghouber

U. Vencedor 66'

Forward

I. Losada

K. Etta 66'

J. Morales

P. Cortes

C. Alvarez 83'

C. Espi

K. Tunde 83'

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

Defender

A. Rudiger

T. Alexander-Arnold

F. Mendy

E. Militao

Forward

B. Diaz

Rodrygo

Endrick

Levante
Levante
Defender

U. Elgezabal

V. Garcia Raja

M. Moreno

Midfielder

O. Rey

Brugue

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Levante
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (25 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain C. Espi (11 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain P. Martinez (5 Assists)
Spain J. Olasagasti (5 Assists)

Real Madrid - Levante Key Points

  1. Both sides scored in Real Madrid’s last four matches.
  2. Real Madrid’s last five matches saw 21 goals scored.
  3. Levante only failed to score in four of their last 10 games.
  4. 22 goals were scored in the last five meetings between these sides.
  5. Real Madrid scored 13 times in the last three matches against Levante.
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Our Real Madrid vs Levante Prediction

Real Madrid will be keen on rising past their recent woes and the team has been rocked by the massive changes. There’s still some work to be done but Alvaro Arbeloa should be capable of leading them past this hurdle.

In the last three meetings between these teams, Real Madrid scored 14 times and both teams scored in three of the last four matchups. Levante failed to score in four of the last 10 matches and with Real on a shaky run, the visitors will feel they can score here too. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Levante is for over 2.5 goals and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Levante

Real Madrid vs Levante Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Real Madrid wins 1.18 1.21 +2.5%
Draw 8.75 9.4 +7.4%
Levante wins 19 18 -5.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Real Madrid is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 82.6% (-2.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Levante Prediction