Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will be out to restore order to their flailing season when they host Girona next in La Liga. This round 31 match finds Real Madrid trailing Barcelona by seven points, while Girona have just opened up an eight-point buffer from the drop zone. Read on for our prediction.
We are at a point in the season when any defeat comes with big consequences, yet Real Madrid have suffered two straight. Their latest one, a 2-1 at home to Bayern Munich, has them on the brink of Champions League elimination.
Earlier, they had suffered a 2-1 loss at Mallorca, a hammer blow to their La Liga title hopes. At home, though, they’ve won 10 of the last 12 matches.
Girona will arrive for this game in high spirits, having recorded a second win in their last three matches. They beat one top four side, Villarreal, 1-0 a few weeks after beating league leaders Barcelona and will be looking to do the same on Friday.
In the reverse meeting, they forced a 1-1 draw and will feel they can go one better here. Each of their last three wins came at home. It is the away form that might let them down; the Blanquivermells are winless in five away matches, losing twice.
In their 15 league games on the road, they’ve only managed three wins.
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Real Madrid v Girona Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.32 | 5.8 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.95 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.95 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.3 | 6 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.8 | 8.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Girona?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Girona match is: Real Madrid to win & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/04/2026 between Real Madrid and Girona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.83% for a win of Real Madrid against Girona with odds of 1.33 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Girona is 20.77% with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Girona vs Real Madrid with odds of 9.75 at 888Starz.
Real Madrid - Girona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Girona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 56.83% | 1.33 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.18% | |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | |
| Half-time: Girona / Full-time: Real Madrid | 20.55% | 19 at LSbet |
Real Madrid vs Girona Form
Real Madrid and Girona's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
19
|
41 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 |
Real Madrid and Girona Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Girona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Girona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Gonzalez
DefenderD. Huijsen
D. Alaba
F. Mendy
A. Tchouameni
T. Pitarch Pinar
Manuel Angel
D. Yanez
J. Fortea
D. Ceballos
ForwardA. Guler
G. Garcia
V. Krapyvtsov
R. Blanco
DefenderH. Rincon
D. Lopez
MidfielderBryan Gil
F. Beltran
L. Kourouma
J. Roca
C. Stuani
A. Ruiz
Missing players
T. Courtois
ForwardRodrygo
Endrick
F. Mastantuono
D. van de Beek
R. Artero Ruiz
ForwardPortu
V. Vanat
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Girona
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
V. Vanat
(9 Goals)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
V. Tsygankov
(5 Assists)
Real Madrid - Girona Key Points
- Girona failed to score twice in their last 13 matches.
- Real Madrid have won 10 of their last 12 home matches.
- In seven of Real Madrid’s last 10 games, both teams scored.
- Girona are winless. In their last five away outings, losing twice.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in five games against Girona, winning four.
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Our Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction
Real Madrid are the second best defensively in La Liga but have recently struggled to keep clean sheets. None of their last five matches have produced one, and they only have one in the last 10 matches. Only once in those 10 games did they fail to score.
Meanwhile, Girona have been consistent in attack, scoring in 11 of their last 13, but with few clean sheets. With these numbers, we expect goals here. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Girona is Real Madrid to win & BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Girona
| Real Madrid vs Girona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.6% |
| Draw | 7.7 | 6.2 | -19.5% |
| Girona wins | 10.5 | 9.75 | -7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 79.4% and is now 75.2% (-4.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
