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21 April 2024 - 15:00 

- Day 32

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
VS
Barcelona

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

 by Joseph King | in LaLiga Prediction

Sunday in the Spanish LaLiga sees another edition of El Clásico as eternal rivals Real Madrid host Barcelona for matchday 32. This fixture comes immediately after a Champions League quarter-final matchday in which the two clubs would have experienced polar opposite emotions. Real Madrid eliminated tournament favorites and defending champions Manchester City to advance to the semi-final. Barcelona, on the other hand, couldn’t take advantage of their first leg away win as they would bow out at the Camp Nou to French giants PSG. Their attention now turns to their domestic responsibilities with Madrid looking to tighten their grip over the LaLiga trophy. The leaders sit eight points clear of second-place Barcelona with seven matches left to play. Barcelona will likely need to take all three points here to keep their admittedly slim title hopes alive.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Barcelona Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.05 11 201
Betfred
1.8 4 4.2
Ladbrokes
1.8 3.9 3.9
NetBet
1.65 4 4
Check all Real Madrid vs Barcelona odds
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Who will win the Real Madrid vs Barcelona Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Real Madrid and Barcelona of LaLiga on 4/21/24 :

  • There is a probability of 41.58% ⭐ for Real Madrid to win this match against Barcelona ⚽ with odds of 1.8 found at Betfred.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 11 which implies a probability of 26.43%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Barcelona to win the match are about 201 at Bet365. That means a probability of 31.99%.

Real Madrid - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Real Madrid  is favoured to win41.58 %1.8
Draw26.43 %11
Barcelona wins the game31.99 %201

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Form

Real Madrid and Barcelona's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
94 37 29 7 1 61
2
Barcelona
Barcelona
82 37 25 7 5 34

Real Madrid and Barcelona Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W W D W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Real Madrid

13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Madrid

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City

31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  4
Real Madrid

10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Barcelona Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

16 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona
1 :  4
PSG

13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Cádiz
0 :  1
Barcelona

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  3
Barcelona

30 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Las Palmas

17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  3
Barcelona

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Napoli

Real Madrid against Barcelona : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

0 %

Barcelona

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Barcelona

28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

29 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
3 :  0
Real Madrid

5 Apr 2023 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
0 :  4
Real Madrid

19 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Madrid

2 Mar 2023 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Real Madrid - Barcelona: Form Analysis

Real Madrid put their lengthy unbeaten run on the line on Sunday at the Santiago Bernabeu. Their 1-1 draw away with Man City in the Champions League on Wednesday was enough to see them into extra time, where they would eventually prevail on penalties. The result means that Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last 16 matches across all competitions and have suffered just a single defeat in 2024. Madrid have been dominant in LaLiga and they come into this Clásico on a streak of 25 league fixtures without defeat. The hosts managed a 1-0 away victory over Mallorca in their last outing thanks to a Tchouameni strike just after halftime. Madrid have yet to suffer defeat on their home turf this season (across all competitions), winning 13 of their 15 outings in LaLiga.

On the other side of the coin, Barcelona will be licking their wounds coming into this rivalry showdown. The Catalan side were trounced 4-1 at the Camp Nou by PSG with everything falling apart following a red card to Ronald Araujo after just 29 minutes of play. The Parisians would score four unanswered goals, condemning Barcelona to their co-biggest defeat of the season and snapping their six-game winning streak. The Blaugrana will have a short turnaround to get their heads straight as they could see their title hopes go up in smoke on Sunday should they fail to win. Barcelona come into this matchup on a run of eight wins and two draws in their last 10 league fixtures. They are yet to suffer defeat on the road in LaLiga, winning nine and drawing six of their 15 trips.
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Real Madrid against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2

13
A. Lunin
17
L. Vazquez
22
A. Rudiger
18
A. Tchouameni
12
E. Camavinga
8
T. Kroos
15
F. Valverde
10
L. Modric
5
J. Bellingham
11
Rodrygo
7
V. Junior
11
Raphinha
9
R. Lewandowski
27
L. Yamal
22
I. Gundogan
15
A. Christensen
21
F. De Jong
2
J. Cancelo
33
P. Cubarsi Paredes
4
R. Araujo
23
J. Kounde
1
M. Ter Stegen

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Barcelona

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Alaba

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Barcelona
Barcelona
Defender

A. Balde

Midfielder

Gavi

F. De Jong

Real Madrid & Barcelona Squad Analysis

Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti has two confirmed absences for Sunday’s match. Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois is still three to four weeks away from a return following his meniscus tear back in March. They’ll also be without defender David Alaba who is a long-term absentee after tearing his ACL in December, 2023. Aurelien Tchouameni, who has been deployed both as a defensive midfielder and a center back this season, will be back in the fold after missing out due to suspension in the last game. Vinicius Jr had to be withdrawn in extra time of the game against Man City but will take up his usual spot up top alongside Rodrygo here.

Xavi was forced to watch from the locker room in his side's heavy loss to PSG after being sent off by the match official. The former midfielder will be unable to call upon starlet Gavi and defender Alejandro Balde who are both recovering from long-term injuries. Despite being sent off in the match against PSG, defender Ronald Araujo will be available for selection with domestic fixtures not applying to his ban.

Real Madrid - Barcelona Key Points

  1. Barcelona’s last five LaLiga matches have finished with under 3.5 goals.
  2. Real Madrid have seen 21 of their 31 league fixtures finish with under 3.5 goals (68%).
  3. Four of the last six league meetings between these two teams have finished with under 3.5 goals.
  4. The hosts have conceded just seven goals at home in 15 LaLiga matches (0.47 per match).
  5. Barcelona have kept six consecutive clean sheets in the league.
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Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

Both teams could well be drained after their massive Champions League quarter-final clashes in midweek. Madrid will know that they likely don't have to win here as they are still overwhelming favorites to win the league. Barcelona have to win to keep their hopes of retaining the league title alive, yet it remains to be seen how they will react after the embarrassing loss to PSG. Ultimately, these two rivals might lack a bit of their usual attacking spark after their taxing European fixtures. The result of which could be a match on the lower-scoring side. Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction is for under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions

Barcelona double chance

Despite losing in their most recent three clashes with Real Madrid over all competitions, the last eight between these two are split right down the middle with four wins apiece. Real Madrid don’t have to win in this match while Barcelona’s title hopes depend on getting not just a result here, but the three points. Barcelona have also yet to taste defeat in 15 away LaLiga matches and could extend their streak on Sunday.

Both teams to score

Six of the last seven LaLiga matches between Real Madrid and Barcelona have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. Madrid have only been kept off the scoresheet once in their 31 league fixtures this season while Barcelona have only failed to find the back of the net in two of their 31 league matches.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions

This edition of El Clásico between Real Madrid and Barcelona will be played at the Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid.
Kickoff in the Real Madrid vs Barcelona game is set for 20:00 UK time, 21:00 local time on Sunday, April, 21st.
Taking charge of this Real Madrid vs Barcelona clash will be 43-year-old Cesar Soto Grado. The Spanish official has overseen 25 matches on the season, handing out 132 yellow cards total (5.28 average per game), to go along with two red cards and six penalties. Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez will be in charge of being the Video Assistant Referee (VAR).
Those tuning in from Spain can catch El Clásico on C+1 and C+1 HD while those in the UK can head over to Sky TV to watch the match. If you are unable to catch the action on TV or through streaming, you can follow along with the match live by heading over to SportyTrader's LaLiga Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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