Real Madrid vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid have seven matches in La Liga to save their season, and that starts this Tuesday with a home game against Alaves. While second-placed Real chase Barcelona, Alaves, in 17th, are pushing for survival. Read on for our prediction of this match.
The last four matches have defined the better part of Real Madrid’s season. Los Blancos have lost form at a very bad time in the campaign, as they come here winless in four games (3L, 1D).
A 4-3 loss to Bayern Munich in midweek confirmed their early exit from the Champions League. Before that, they had drawn 1-1 with Girona, leaving them winless in the last two La Liga outings.
Alvaro Arbeloa’s side now trails Barcelona by nine points in the league.
Alaves are fighting for survival. At 33 points, they only have a one-point buffer from the bottom three. After leading Real Sociedad twice in their last outing, Alavés needed a stoppage-time goal to earn a point from a 3-3 draw.
While they will feel those were points dropped, Alaves are happy to take into this encounter a four-game unbeaten run. Babazorros have three draws and one win in that stretch.
There is a lot of improvement to be targeted, but priority must be on their defending. Alaves have conceded three goals three times in the last five matches and have no clean sheet in 10 games.
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Real Madrid v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.23 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.1 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.45 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.2 | 11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Alavés match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/04/2026 between Real Madrid and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.49% for a win of Real Madrid against Alavés with odds of 1.26 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Alavés is 22.72% with odds of 7.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Real Madrid with odds of 13.7 at 888Starz.
Real Madrid - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 52.49% | 1.26 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.79% | |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 21.79% | 1.65 at LSbet |
Real Madrid vs Alavés Form
Real Madrid and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Real Madrid and Alavés Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
14 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
S. Mestre
DefenderF. Garcia
A. Rudiger
D. Carvajal
D. Alaba
F. Mendy
MidfielderE. Camavinga
T. Pitarch Pinar
D. Ceballos
ForwardG. Garcia
F. Mastantuono
B. Diaz
G. Swiderski
R. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Pacheco
V. Koski
E. Munoz
MidfielderA. Guevara
Calebe
P. Ibáñez
C. Alena
A. Manas
I. Diabate
M. Diaz
Missing players
T. Courtois
DefenderR. Asencio
ForwardRodrygo
Endrick
F. Garces
MidfielderC. Benavidez
ForwardA. Rebbach
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Alavés
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
Real Madrid - Alavés Key Points
- Eight times in Alaves’ last 10 matches, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in Real Madrid’s last five league matches.
- Eight of Real Madrid’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals netted.
- Three or more goals were scored in four of Alaves’ last five league outings.
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Our Real Madrid vs Alavés Prediction
In the remaining seven matches this season, Real Madrid have to prioritize doing better defensively. Their current run of conceding in each of the last eight La Liga outings is the worst since September 2019. Alaves, unbeaten in four matches, will be keen on adding to Real Madrid woes.
The visitors, however, are also struggling in defense, yet this is a game they need to win to boost their survival chances. All seems to be pointing to another game without a clean sheet. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Alaves is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Alavés
| Real Madrid vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.31 | 1.26 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 6.23 | 7.8 | +25.2% |
| Alavés wins | 11 | 13.7 | +24.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 79.4% (3.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
