France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Third-placed RC Toulon will host league leaders Stade Toulousain in this highly anticipated Top 14 matchday 23 showdown on Saturday. The Toulon-based side will aim to break into the top two places with a win over the defending champions. Who will ace this tie between the two French rugby powerhouses? Follow our prediction for the match below.
RC Toulon fell two points behind the semifinal playoff spot following a 29-19 away loss to bottom-placed Vannes in their last match. This result marked their third defeat in a dragging win-loss cycle over the last six matches.
However, they have maintained a perfect home league run this season, winning all their 11 home matches. Can they sustain this record facing Stade Toulousain on Saturday?
Stade Toulousain will enter this match hoping to recover from their 35-18 Champions Cup semi-final loss to domestic rivals Bordeaux Bègles in their last match. This result ended their five-match winning streak, including three straight Top 14 victories.
Additionally, Ugo Mola’s side knocked out RC Toulon in the Champions Cup quarterfinal in their most recent competitive meeting, winning 21-18 away. However, they haven't been lucky against the Toulon-based rivals on the road. The Champions Cup quarter-final victory was their first away victory against Pierre Mignoni’s side in eight attempts.
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The Best Betting Odds for RC Toulonnais v Stade Toulousain Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.36 | 23 | 3.2 |
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1.36 | 26 | 3.2 |
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1.38 | 23 | 3.27 |
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1.38 | 19 | 3 |
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1.37 | 15 | 3.35 |
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RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Form
RC Toulonnais and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
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1
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79 | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 364 |
3
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67 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 114 |
RC Toulonnais and Stade Toulousain Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
26 Jan 2025 - Top 14
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
15 Feb 2025 - Top 14
19 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
28 Dec 2024 - Top 14

5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
25 Jan 2025 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
23 Mar 2025 - Top 14
16 Feb 2025 - Top 14
11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Top 14
20 Apr 2024 - Top 14
23 Dec 2023 - Top 14
18 Feb 2023 - Top 14
11 Sep 2022 - Top 14
RC Toulonnais - Stade Toulousain Key Points
- RC Toulon have won 14 of their 15 home matches across league and cup games this season.
- RC Toulon boast an impressive 11-0-0 home league record this season, winning nine of those by more than 10 points.
- Stade Toulousain have lost two of their last four away matches, both of which by more than seven points.
- Stade Toulousain have lost seven of their last eight away matches against RC Toulon.
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Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction
We expect a tough match as these two French rugby powerhouses lock horns on Saturday. However, RC Toulon are the favourites to win and cover the spread. Pierre Mignoni's side will hope to count on home support and avenge their Champions Cup quarterfinal loss to the domestic rivals.
They have won all their home league matches this season, nine of which by more than 10 points. They have also won seven of their last eight home fixtures against Stade Toulousain. Our RC Toulon vs Stade Toulousain prediction is RC Toulon -7.5 handicap points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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