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RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
10/05/2025 15:05
Stade Toulousain

Prediction :

 

RC Toulon -7.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Third-placed RC Toulon will host league leaders Stade Toulousain in this highly anticipated Top 14 matchday 23 showdown on Saturday. The Toulon-based side will aim to break into the top two places with a win over the defending champions. Who will ace this tie between the two French rugby powerhouses? Follow our prediction for the match below.

RC Toulon fell two points behind the semifinal playoff spot following a 29-19 away loss to bottom-placed Vannes in their last match. This result marked their third defeat in a dragging win-loss cycle over the last six matches.

However, they have maintained a perfect home league run this season, winning all their 11 home matches. Can they sustain this record facing Stade Toulousain on Saturday?

Stade Toulousain will enter this match hoping to recover from their 35-18 Champions Cup semi-final loss to domestic rivals Bordeaux Bègles in their last match. This result ended their five-match winning streak, including three straight Top 14 victories.

Additionally, Ugo Mola’s side knocked out RC Toulon in the Champions Cup quarterfinal in their most recent competitive meeting, winning 21-18 away. However, they haven't been lucky against the Toulon-based rivals on the road. The Champions Cup quarter-final victory was their first away victory against Pierre Mignoni’s side in eight attempts.

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The Best Betting Odds for RC Toulonnais v Stade Toulousain Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 23 3.2
Ladbrokes
1.36 26 3.2
Vbet
1.38 23 3.27
NetBet
1.38 19 3
1xbet
1.37 15 3.35
Check all RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain odds
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RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Form

RC Toulonnais and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
79 22 16 1 5 364
3
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
67 22 14 0 8 114

RC Toulonnais and Stade Toulousain Last Matches

RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais Last matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
29 :  19
RC Toulonnais

19 Apr 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
31 :  24
Clermont

13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
18 :  21
Stade Toulousain

5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
72 :  42
Saracens FC

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
28 :  26
RC Toulonnais

22 Mar 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
40 :  19
USA Perpignan
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

19 Apr 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
31 :  24
Clermont

13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
18 :  21
Stade Toulousain

5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
72 :  42
Saracens FC

22 Mar 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
40 :  19
USA Perpignan

22 Feb 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
24 :  6
Stade Francais Paris

26 Jan 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
45 :  26
Stade Rochelais
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
29 :  19
RC Toulonnais

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
28 :  26
RC Toulonnais

1 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
27 :  20
RC Toulonnais

15 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
30 :  38
RC Toulonnais

19 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Sale Sharks
33 :  7
RC Toulonnais

28 Dec 2024 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
21 :  17
RC Toulonnais
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

4 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
35 :  18
Stade Toulousain

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
52 :  6
Castres Olympique

20 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
21 :  27
Stade Toulousain

13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
18 :  21
Stade Toulousain

6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
38 :  15
Sale Sharks

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
55 :  10
Section Paloise
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
52 :  6
Castres Olympique

6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
38 :  15
Sale Sharks

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
55 :  10
Section Paloise

1 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
63 :  21
Rugby Club Vannes

22 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
41 :  6
Aviron Bayonne

25 Jan 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
27 :  17
Montpellier Herault Rugby
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

4 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
35 :  18
Stade Toulousain

20 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
21 :  27
Stade Toulousain

13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
18 :  21
Stade Toulousain

23 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
32 :  24
Stade Toulousain

16 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
18 :  35
Stade Toulousain

11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Sharks
8 :  20
Stade Toulousain

RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

RC Toulonnais

33 %

Draw

0 %

Stade Toulousain

67 %

13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
18 :  21
Stade Toulousain

27 Oct 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
57 :  5
RC Toulonnais

20 Apr 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
20 :  19
Stade Toulousain

23 Dec 2023 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
25 :  17
RC Toulonnais

18 Feb 2023 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
17 :  6
Stade Toulousain

11 Sep 2022 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  8
RC Toulonnais

RC Toulonnais - Stade Toulousain Key Points

  1. RC Toulon have won 14 of their 15 home matches across league and cup games this season.
  2. RC Toulon boast an impressive 11-0-0 home league record this season, winning nine of those by more than 10 points.
  3. Stade Toulousain have lost two of their last four away matches, both of which by more than seven points.
  4. Stade Toulousain have lost seven of their last eight away matches against RC Toulon.
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Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction

We expect a tough match as these two French rugby powerhouses lock horns on Saturday. However, RC Toulon are the favourites to win and cover the spread. Pierre Mignoni's side will hope to count on home support and avenge their Champions Cup quarterfinal loss to the domestic rivals. 

They have won all their home league matches this season, nine of which by more than 10 points. They have also won seven of their last eight home fixtures against Stade Toulousain. Our RC Toulon vs Stade Toulousain prediction is RC Toulon -7.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

RC Toulon -7.5 handicap points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction
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