Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
32nd seed Rafael Jodar has reached another clay court quarter-final. It's his fourth of the season and he takes on 18th seed Luciano Darderi for a place in the Italian Open semi-finals. Jodar faces a tough opponent here and our match prediction favors more than 20.5 games being played.
Jodar keeps climbing the rankings and is now a career-high 29th in the live list. Already this year he has won the Marrakech title and made it to the last four in Barcelona. His run of success has continued here and the 19-year-old has become the youngest Italian Open quarter-finalist in 21 years.
He has reached the last eight for the loss of only one set to Matteo Arnaldi. 19th seed Learner Tien was beaten in round four.
Luciano Darderi has also won an ATP Tour clay court title in 2026. His victory came in Santiago and he was also the losing finalist in Buenos Aires. After a dip in form he has greturned to his best in Rome and on Tuesday came from behind to beat second seed Alexander Zverev after previously beating 16th-seeded Tommy Paul.
Both of his last two matches have gone to three sets and he's 17th in the live rankings.
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Rafael Jodar v Luciano Darderi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 2.86 |
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1.42 | 2.86 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.41 | 2.72 |
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|
1.41 | 2.72 |
|
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Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Form
Rafael Jodar and Luciano Darderi Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
12 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
29 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Rafael Jodar - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Both of Darderi's last two matches have seen more than 20.5 games played and three sets.
- Jodar has played more than 20.5 games in two of his three matches in this tournament.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Jodar has played one in five of his last eight matches.
- Darderi played a tie-break in his last match.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
Luciano Darderi had to save four match points in his fourth round win over Alexander Zverev. He went on to win the final set without losing a game. The Santiago champion will give Rafael Jodar a hard match if he recovers well from that win over the second seed.
Rafael Jodar is so consistent at present and only 12 players have earned more ranking points than him this year. This could well be a close match against Darderi. Our Rafael Jodar v Luciano Darderi prediction is more than 20.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
