Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Washington Citi Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Unseeded Rafael Jodar has reached his first ATP Tour outdoor hard court quarter-final of the year. He takes on fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti for a place in the last four. Musetti has won nine of his 12 matches on this surface in 2026 and our prediction is he will win more than 11.5 games.
The winner will take on either second seed Ben Shelton or unseeded Ugo Humbert in the semi-finals.
Lorenzo Musetti has reached this quarter-final for the loss of one set. That came in the second round when he lost the middle set against Aleksandar Vukic. Before that he beat fellow Italian Matteo Arnaldi who retired in the second set.
The world number 15 (nine places above Jodar) has reached one ATP Tour outdoor hard court final this year. He also made it to the last eight in the Australian Open but injuries have restricted his appearances this year.
Rafael Jodar has been steadily making his way up the rankings this year. The Spaniard is up to a career-high 21st in the live rankings, nine below Musetti. He is making his debut in this Washington tournament.
Jodar has beaten eighth seed Arthur Fils and Kei Nishikori so far and is yet to lose a set.
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Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.48 | 2.6 |
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1.51 | 2.64 |
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1.49 | 2.62 |
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1.49 | 2.62 |
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1.5 | 2.63 |
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Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Lorenzo Musetti wins more than 11.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 31/07/2026 of the current ATP Washington Citi Open season:
- Rafael Jodar has a 59.26% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.55.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 40.74% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 2.65 at 888Starz.
Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 59.26 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 59.26 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 40.74 % |
Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
28 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
12 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Musetti was nine places above his opponent in the latest rankings.
- Musetti has reached one ATP Tour outdoor hard court final in 2026.
- Musetti has won more than 11.5 games in four of his six completed hard court best-of-three sets matches.
- This is the first ATP Tour outdoor hard court quarter-final that Jodar has reached this year.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Rafael Jodar has won 41 matches this year but 23 were on other surfaces. He has finally reached an ATP Tour outdoor hard court quarter-final, but has a tough match here against fourth-seeded Lorenzo Musetti. A close match is very likely here.
The Italian has had a stop-start year due to injury and will hope for a strong end to the season. One outdoor final has already been reached this year and our Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Lorenzo Musetti wins more than 11.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
