PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Ita Emmanuel | in Eredivisie Predictions
PSV host AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie Matchday 26 clash on Saturday. Can Boeren strengthen their bid to retain the Dutch top flight title with a win against De Kaasboeren? Here is our prediction.
PSV come into this clash off the back of their KNVB Beker semifinal heartbreak at Nijmegen on Tuesday. The reigning league champions crashed out of the competition following a dramatic 3–2 defeat to Nijmegen.
Away from that setback, Peter Bosz's side are in fine league form and will be gearing to return to winning ways on Saturday. They defeated Heracles 3–1 away in their last outing in the Dutch top flight, opening a 17-point gap at the top of the table. Additionally, they are unbeaten in their last nine Eredivisie home matches (W7, D2), all of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
AZ Alkmaar have found themselves in a tight race for European places in the league following a run of 11 wins, six draws, and eight defeats. Sitting sixth in the table at 39 points, they could strengthen their bid to qualify for Europe and close the gap on the top three to just two points with a win on Saturday.
Lee-Roy Echteld's side edged Telstar 2–1 in the KNVB Beker semifinals on Wednesday, but fell 2–0 to Utrecht in their last league outing. They have suffered defeats in both of their recent trips and have lost five of their last six matches against PSV, all of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.37 | 5.6 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.45 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.35 | 6.95 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 6.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar match is: PSV win + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.84% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 1.4 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar is 10.33% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.83% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 8 at Bet365.
PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 63.84% | 1.4 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | |
| Both Team To Score | 70.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSV Eindhoven/PSV Eindhoven | 32.2% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Form
PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
84 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 |
|
7
|
52 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 |
PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
28 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker
1 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
28 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
3 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker
31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie
28 May 2023 - Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven against AZ Alkmaar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
N. Schiks
T. Smolenaars
DefenderY. Gasiorowski
R. Flamingo
A. Salah-Eddine
C. Driouech
E. Bajraktarevic
M. Boadu
J. Zoet
H. Verhulst
DefenderD. Kasius
M. Dekker
R. Ichihara
MidfielderM. Sin
K. Boogaard
ForwardA. Oufkir
W. Patati
M. Meerdink
I. Sadiq
J. Hornkamp
Missing players
N. Olij
MidfielderG. Til
N. Fernandez
ForwardA. Plea
R. van Bommel
S. Maikuma
M. Chavez
MidfielderJ. Clasie
K. Smit
Most goals and assists
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
R. Pepi
(16 Goals)
T. Parrott
(16 Goals)
J. Veerman
(14 Assists)
S. Mijnans
(6 Assists)
,
M. De Wit
(6 Assists)
PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- PSV Eindhoven have won four of their last five Eredivisie matches, each of which produced no fewer than three goals.
- PSV’s last 17 matches across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- PSV are unbeaten in their last nine home league matches, all of which produced at least three goals.
- AZ Alkmaar have lost their last two away matches.
- AZ Alkmaar have lost five of their last six matches against PSV, all of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
PSV will look to close in on a third consecutive league title with a win on Saturday and also return to winning ways after Tuesday's setback in the KNVB Beker semifinals. They are far above the benchmarks this season with 21 wins from 25 league matches and Saturday's contest is more likely to end in their favor, with AZ Alkmaar struggling for results on the road lately.
Notably, most of their matches have been high-scoring encounters producing at least three goals. Our PSV vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is PSV win + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
| PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 1.42 | 1.4 | -1.4% |
| Draw | 4.9 | 6 | +22.4% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 7.2 | 8 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 71.4% (1.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the PSV Eindhoven vs. AZ Alkmaar game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Eredivisie!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
