PSG vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

PSG
16/01/2026 15:00
Lille

Prediction :

 

PSG wins

1.5
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

It isn’t a familiar sighting for PSG to be second in the Ligue 1 title race, and they’ll hope for three points at home to Lille. Playing a day before the league leaders, PSG will be eyeing the top spot here, but fourth-placed Lille are preoccupied with rising into the top three. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

By their high standards, PSG have struggled a bit domestically this season, even if they are just a point behind Lens. Les Parisiens are coming from a 1-0 defeat to neighbors Paris FC in the French Cup.

As they don’t drop a lot of points at home, PSG will be very confident of bouncing back. They are the best-performing home team with 22 points.

Lille will not be pushovers here. They will be determined to show why they are the only ones to recently stop PSG from winning the title. Their latest outing, however, didn’t go to plan, as they were beaten 2-1 by Lyon in the French Cup.

That was a second straight home defeat for Les Dogues after earlier falling 2-0 to Rennes. Their four straight wins in the league before this blip now feel like a long way back.

It is blighted by a run of three defeats in their last five matches, yet they haven't beaten PSG in nine meetings.

Up to €100 to bet on PSG - Lille! 

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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Lille Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.42 5 6.5
Stake
1.46 5 6.6
Melbet
1.42 4.9 7
BC Game
1.43 4.8 6.4
Tonybet
1.43 5 6.8
Check all PSG vs Lille odds

What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Lille?

Our prediction for the PSG vs Lille match is: PSG wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/01/2026 between PSG and Lille in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.18% for a win of PSG against Lille with odds of 1.47 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Lille is 19.5% with odds of 5.08 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs PSG with odds of 7.31 at 888Starz.

PSG vs Lille Form

PSG and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
PSG
PSG
39 17 12 3 2 +22
4
Lille
Lille
32 17 10 2 5 +11

PSG and Lille Last Matches

PSG
PSG Last matches
W D W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG
W W D W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  3
Tottenham
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
PSG
Lille
Lille Last matches
W L W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Lille
1 :  2
Lyon

3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  2
Rennes

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Lusitanos Saint-Maur
0 :  1
Lille

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  4
Lille

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

BSC Young Boys
1 :  0
Lille

5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Lille
1 :  2
Lyon

3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  2
Rennes

5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Lille
4 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
4 :  2
Paris FC

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Angers
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Lusitanos Saint-Maur
0 :  1
Lille

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  4
Lille

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

BSC Young Boys
1 :  0
Lille

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Lille

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  0
Lille

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Red Star Belgrade
1 :  0
Lille

PSG vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

67 %

Draw

33 %

Lille

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
PSG

1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Lille

1 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  3
PSG

10 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Lille

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
PSG

19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  3
Lille

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

M. Safonov

Defender

A. Hakimi

Midfielder

L. Kang-in

J. Neves

Forward

I. Mbaye

Q. Ndjantou

Lille
Lille
Defender

O. Toure

Midfielder

B. Andre

A. Gomes

Forward

H. Igamane

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Lille
Top Goalscorer
Portugal J. Neves (5 Goals)
France B. Barcola (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Iceland H. Haraldsson (5 Goals) Morocco H. Igamane (5 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal Vitinha (6 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal F. Correia (4 Assists)

PSG and Lille Stats in Ligue 1

PSG
PSG
Lille
Lille
71%
Wins
59%
12%
Losses
29%
18%
Draws
12%
3.06
Average goals per match
3.24
2.18
Goals scored per match
1.94
0.88
Goals conceded per match
1.29
53%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
47%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
47%
No goals conceded
29%
41%
BTTS
41%

PSG - Lille Key Points

  1. PSG have beaten Lille seven times in nine meetings.
  2. PSG have won 12 of their 17 league matches this season.
  3. Lille have lost three more games than PSG in Ligue 1.
  4. Lille have suffered three defeats in their last five matches.
Up to €100 to bet on PSG - Lille! 

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Our PSG vs Lille Prediction

Both Lille and PSG are coming off defeats in the French Cup. Domestically now, it is only the league to play for, and though Lille are a way off, they will feel capable of challenging. This game, however, holds grim history for them, having failed to win in the last nine meetings.

Seven of those ended in losses, and playing away to PSG could see an extension of the unwanted run. The hosts have only lost once in 26 league games at home, winning 17. Our prediction for PSG v Lille is that PSG wins.

Prediction :

 

PSG wins

1.5
€100 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

PSG vs Lille Prediction