Preston North End vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Preston North End
17/01/2026 10:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Preston North End wins

2.2
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions

Preston North End and Derby County had losing outings in the FA Cup but will put that aside as they face off in the Championship. Heading into this match, Preston sit three points out of the top two while Derby are 13th. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Preston can fully focus on their push for automatic promotion after suffering a 1-0 loss to Wigan in the FA Cup. One loss only in their last 10 league matches highlights Preston’s rise in recent times.

They posted back-to-back wins in the last two league matches, registering clean sheets. In their latest outing, they beat Bristol City 2-0 for their 11th league win and are now on 43 points.

Derby’s good days are behind them. Their 3-1 loss to Leeds United in the FA Cup was just a continuation of their struggles. They arrive for this match having suffered three defeats in the last four matches.

The Rams have posted just two wins across their last 10 outings, but they’ve done slightly better on the road. In their last 10 away matches, Derby County have won five times, though only one came off their last four outings.

The visitors lost 1-0 at home in the last meetup with Preston. That was their fourth defeat in eight against Preston, while they have two wins in the process.

The Best Betting Odds for Preston North End v Derby County Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.2 3.1 3.4
Stake
2.26 3.15 3.35
Melbet
2.27 3.13 3.26
BC Game
2.26 3.1 3.25
Tonybet
2.28 3.1 3.2
Check all Preston North End vs Derby County odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Preston North End and Derby County?

Our prediction for the Preston North End vs Derby County match is: Preston North End wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Preston North End and Derby County in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.2% for a win of Preston North End against Derby County with odds of 2.32 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Preston North End vs Derby County is 31.74% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Preston North End with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.

Preston North End vs Derby County Form

Preston North End and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Preston North End
Preston North End
43 26 11 10 5 +11
13
Derby County
Derby County
35 26 9 8 9 0

Preston North End and Derby County Last Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End Last matches
D D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Preston North End
0 :  1
Wigan

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  2
Preston North End

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  1
Preston North End

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Norwich
L D D D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Preston North End
0 :  1
Wigan

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Norwich

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Coventry City

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Wrexham

21 Nov 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  2
Blackburn
D W W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  2
Preston North End

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  1
Preston North End

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  2
Preston North End

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
2 :  3
Preston North End

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Preston North End
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
D D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Derby County

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Portsmouth
L D D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Portsmouth

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Millwall

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  3
Leicester
W W L W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Derby County

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

15 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  3
Derby County

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Derby County

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Derby County

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Derby County

Preston North End vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Preston North End

33 %

Draw

33 %

Derby County

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.17
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Preston North End

2 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Preston North End

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Derby County

26 Dec 2020 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Preston North End

1 Feb 2019 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Derby County

2 Apr 2018 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  1
Derby County

Missing players

Preston North End
Preston North End
Defender

A. Vukcevic

L. Gibson

Midfielder

R. Brady

Derby County
Derby County
Defender

O. Beck

M. Johnston

Midfielder

D. Ozoh

Forward

C. Morris

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Preston North End
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
England L. Dobbin (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (10 Goals)
Best assists
England L. Dobbin (4 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Ward (7 Assists)

Preston North End and Derby County Stats in Championship

Preston North End
Preston North End
Derby County
Derby County
42%
Wins
35%
19%
Losses
35%
38%
Draws
31%
2.35
Average goals per match
2.69
1.38
Goals scored per match
1.35
0.96
Goals conceded per match
1.35
58%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
42%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
31%
No goals conceded
19%
62%
BTTS
73%

Preston North End - Derby County Key Points

  1. Preston won their latest two games in the Championship.
  2. Derby lost three of their last four matches.
  3. Derby won two and lost four in eight meetings with Preston.
  4. Preston won 23 of their 43 points in matches played at home.

Our Preston North End vs Derby County Prediction

Both teams look to pick some positives after their FA Cup elimination in the third round. Preston will feel confident not just because they are playing at home but also with their good start to the year. The hosts won back-to-back league games before the FA Cup hiatus and are banking on their strong home record.

Meanwhile, Derby are struggling and come here on three defeats in the last four matches. In this shape, they are staring at possibly three straight defeats for the first time this season. Our prediction for Preston v Derby County is that Preston North End wins.

Prediction :

 

Preston North End wins

2.2
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Preston North End vs Derby County Prediction