Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors are promising us a play-in match for the ages as they slug it out for the 8th seed. Despite the Warriors beating the Suns in three of four encounters this season, the betting odds call them the underdogs in this bout. But just how true is that, and what’s the best bet here? Read our match prediction below.
The Warriors just did the seemingly improbable when they absolutely dominated the Clippers in their own domain in the first play-in game. Offensive brilliance from Steph Curry (who dropped 35 points) and a defensive masterclass from Draymond Green saw GSW knock out the Kawhi-led LAC.
GSW now travels to Phoenix to finish the “Underdog Job” against Phoenix, which just lost the 7th seed to the Portland Trail Blazers. The Suns fought long and hard, winning two quarters just as Portland. However, a last 17-second surge from Deni Avdija and Jeremy Grant saw the Blazers edge out 114-110.
For the Suns, this is especially worrying considering GSW’s dominance in their four meetings this season. Not only did the Warriors beat the Suns in three of four games, but the only loss was by just one point in Phoenix’s 99-98 win. See key stats below.
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Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.67 | 2.25 |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.72 | 2.19 |
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1.68 | 2.2 |
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Who will win the Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors match is: Golden State Warriors wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors game on 17/04/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Phoenix Suns has a 54.71% chance to pick up the win against Golden State Warriors according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.72.
- There is a probability of 45.29% ⭐ for Golden State Warriors to win vs Phoenix Suns with odds of 2.25 at Bet365.
Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Form
Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
15 Apr 2026 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
9 Apr 2026 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
15 Apr 2026 - NBA
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Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Players list
J. Green
D. Booker
J. Goodwin
O. Ighodaro
B. Podziemski
S. Curry
G. Santos
D. Green
Substitutes
R. Dunn
G. Allen
J. Bouyea
C. Gillespie
H. Highsmith
R. Fleming
R. O'Neale
S. Curry
P. Spencer
W. Richard
G. Payton II
D. Melton
Phoenix Suns - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- The Warriors beat the Suns in three of four encounters this season.
- GSW just beat the Clippers as the underdog, while the Suns lost to Portland as the favourites.
- The Warriors average more points per game (114.6) than Phoenix, which averaged the 5th-fewest this season (112.6).
- Additionally, the Warriors have been more efficient, recording a higher FG% (46.1%) than Phoenix, which has the 3rd-lowest (45.5%).
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Our Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Phoenix Suns might be the favourites in this game, but we think the Golden State Warriors will shine brighter. Beyond beating Phoenix in three of four games this season, GSW edges in several key areas that we think will decide this game.
The Warriors average more points and have a better FG% than Phoenix. But the return of Steph Curry, who dropped a master class in the first play-in game, makes the Warriors even deadlier than the stats suggest. Hence, our Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors prediction is that the Golden State Warriors wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.