Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Phoenix Suns will play host to the Golden State Warriors at the Mortgage Matchup Center in the NBA on Thursday night. The Suns (31-20) are seventh in the Western Conference standings, while the Warriors (27-24) are eighth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Phoenix Suns are having an impressive season. They have now won 12 of 18 games since the start of 2026 and will be looking to maintain momentum after beating the Blazers 130-125 on Tuesday.
Underlining how well they have been performing is the fact that they’ve won four of their last five games without Devin Booker. Colin Gillespie was the standout performer against Portland, scoring 30 points.
The Suns are 17-7 at home and have the sixth-best defensive rating in the league. This is the third meeting between the sides this season, and GSW lead the series 2-1.
Meanwhile, in contrast to the Suns, since one of the Warriors' key players Jimmy Butler’s injury, the team has experienced a notable dip and have now lost five of their last seven games.
The most recent loss came against the 76ers, 113-94 on Tuesday. Steph Curry also missed that match due to a knee issue, and the Dubs never looked like challenging, losing all four quarters.
Golden State are 10-15 on the road and will be missing the Curry brothers, Butler and Kristaps Porzingis for this match.
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Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 2.75 |
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|
1.46 | 2.74 |
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|
1.46 | 2.74 |
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1.46 | 2.8 |
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|
1.45 | 2.78 |
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Who will win the Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors match is: Phoenix Suns -4.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors game on 05/02/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Phoenix Suns has a 65.15% chance to pick up the win against Golden State Warriors according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.48.
- There is a probability of 34.85% ⭐ for Golden State Warriors to win vs Phoenix Suns with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.
Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Form
Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
0.549 | 82 | 45 | 37 | 1 |
|
20
|
0.451 | 82 | 37 | 45 |
Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Feb 2026 - NBA
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11 Jan 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Feb 2026 - NBA
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15 Jan 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
3 Feb 2026 - NBA
30 Jan 2026 - NBA
28 Jan 2026 - NBA
26 Jan 2026 - NBA
25 Jan 2026 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
3 Feb 2026 - NBA
30 Jan 2026 - NBA
20 Jan 2026 - NBA
19 Jan 2026 - NBA
17 Jan 2026 - NBA
15 Jan 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Jan 2026 - NBA
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31 Dec 2025 - NBA
Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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31 Jan 2025 - NBA
28 Dec 2024 - NBA
Players list
C. Gillespie
G. Allen
R. O'Neale
M. Moody
P. Spencer
D. Melton
G. Santos
D. Green
Substitutes
K. Brea
R. Dunn
J. Goodwin
J. Bouyea
O. Ighodaro
R. Fleming
I. Livers
B. Podziemski
W. Richard
G. Payton II
M. Leons
Phoenix Suns - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- The Suns have the best cover rate in the NBA this season at 66.7% (34-17-0).
- The Suns have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against Western Conference opposition.
- The Suns are 17-7 at home this season.
- The Warriors have only covered the spread in two of their last seven games.
- The Warriors are 10-15 on the road this season.
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Our Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
While the Warriors lead this series 2-1, they are missing three of their best players for this match and are coming off a very poor showing against the Sixers, where they failed to score 100 points.
The Suns have a couple of injury concerns of their own, but they’re continuing to win games and are the most profitable team in the NBA this season. Phoenix have also won 17 of their 24 home games this season, and we fancy they will add to that tally in this one. Our Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors prediction is Phoenix Suns -4.5.
If your team in the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
