Parma vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Napoli have the chance to keep pressure on league leaders Inter Milan when they travel to Parma for their next Serie A match. As the campaign enters match week 32, the champions are second in the standings while Parma enters the weekend in 13th. Read on to find our prediction.
Parma’s form in February, which gave them a massive lift, is now a fading memory as they’ve gone winless in five since (3D, 2L).
They lost an early lead in their latest outing against Lazio, playing out a 1-1 draw, but it was a welcome break after having lost the earlier two.
With seven games to play, Napoli have hit top form, winning each of their last five matches since that loss to Atalanta. Like their 1-0 win over AC Milan, each of these wins was by a one-goal margin.
Going into a match that has of late not been known for too many goals, we could have another low-scoring game here.
The reverse meeting between these two saw no goals scored, and it was the second straight such outcome.
Napoli have five wins in their last 10 visits to Parma, and they’ve also posted five wins in their last 10 matches on the road.
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Parma v Napoli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.6 | 3.95 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.65 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
|
|
6.65 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.9 | 1.55 |
|
|
6.4 | 3.8 | 1.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Parma vs Napoli match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Parma and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.97% for a win of Parma against Napoli with odds of 6.9 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Napoli is 27.33% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Parma with odds of 1.61 at 888Starz.
Parma - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 54.71% | 1.61 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.85% | 2.3 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Napoli/Napoli | 25.91% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Parma vs Napoli Form
Parma and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
Parma and Napoli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
6 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
6 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Parma vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
18 May 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
31 Jan 2021 - Serie A
20 Sept 2020 - Serie A
22 Jul 2020 - Serie A
Parma against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
F. Rinaldi
E. Corvi
DefenderA. Ndiaye
S. Britschgi
F. Carboni
MidfielderN. Estevez
J. Ondrejka
O. Sorensen
G. Oristanio
C. Ordonez
P. Almqvist
D. Mikolajewski
N. Contini
A. Meret
DefenderS. Beukema
M. Gutierrez
P. Mazzocchi
MidfielderB. Gilmour
E. Elmas
A. Santos
Giovane
Missing players
B. Cremaschi
ForwardM. Pellegrino
M. Frigan
A. Rrahmani
ForwardR. Lukaku
Most goals and assists
Parma
Napoli
M. Pellegrino
(9 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
H. Caviglia
(4 Assists)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
Parma - Napoli Key Points
- Four of the last five meetings between these sides had under 2.5 goals.
- Only one of Parma’s last five matches had more than two goals.
- 12 goals in total were scored on Parma’s last five home matches.
- Under 2.5 goals were realized in Napoli’s last two matches.
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Our Parma vs Napoli Prediction
This fixture failed to produce a goal in any of the last two meetings. There could be a change in that trend here, but we are not banking much on a high-scoring game. In these final stages of the season, teams have put in a lot defensively.
They may fail to score a lot but aren’t conceding much either. Napoli have scored one goal per game in the last two, while Parma have netted more than once in five outings. Our prediction for Parma v Napoli is for less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Napoli
| Parma vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 5.83 | 6.9 | +18.4% |
| Draw | 3.72 | 4.1 | +10.2% |
| Napoli wins | 1.74 | 1.61 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.5% and is now 62.1% (4.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
