South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Palmeiras have the job almost done as they welcome Universitario de Deportes for the return leg of their Copa Libertadores last 16 match. This tie stands at 4-0 in Palmeiras’ favor and the Brazilians look set for a quarter-final berth. Read on for our prediction.
Palmeiras are battling on two fronts. In Serie A they are second, trailing Flamengo by four points and with a game in hand. They come into this game on a three-match winning run, having beaten Botafogo 1-0 away from home.
Their two defeats in the last 10 matches were inflicted by Corinthians in the Brazilian Cup, and they are in great shape coming here.
Universitario are facing Palmeiras for the fourth time in their history, and in each of the first three, they conceded at least three goals. That said, there seems to be no chance for the visitors here, as they need a win by five goals to turn this around.
In their only previous visit to Palmeiras, Universitario de Deportes suffered a 6-0 defeat. They’ve now failed to score in their last two matches against Palmeiras. After their 4-0 loss at home, Universitario resumed domestic action with a 1-1 draw at Sport Huancayo.
They’ve avoided defeat in seven straight away matches, winning four.
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The Best Betting Odds for Palmeiras v Universitario Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.3 | 10 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Universitario?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Universitario match is: Palmeiras to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2025 between Palmeiras and Universitario in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.07% for a win of Palmeiras against Universitario with odds of 1.33 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Universitario is 19.96% with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Universitario vs Palmeiras with odds of 10 at Unibet.
Palmeiras - Universitario Prediction and Best Odds:
| Palmeiras Universitario Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 45.07% | 1.33 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 2.26 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras | 16.69% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Palmeiras vs Universitario Form
Palmeiras and Universitario Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
5 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
31 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
26 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
31 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
18 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
12 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
20 Jun 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
5 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
26 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
6 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
25 Jun 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
15 Jun 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
Palmeiras vs Universitario Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
27 May 2021 - Copa Libertadores
21 Apr 2021 - Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras against Universitario Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
Universitario
V. Roque
(17 Goals)
A. Valera
(17 Goals)
Mauricio
(9 Assists)
J. Concha
(10 Assists)
Palmeiras - Universitario Key Points
- Palmeiras have three straight wins.
- 14 goals were scored in Palmeiras’ last five matches.
- Palmeiras netted 17 goals in their last five Libertadores matches.
- Universitario conceded 13 goals in three meetings with Palmeiras.
- An average 2.6 goals were scored in Universitario’s last five games.
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Our Palmeiras vs Universitario Prediction
This tie is heavily siding against the visitors, especially after failing to make use of home advantage and coming here winless in the last two games. Universitario have also been on the receiving end of heavy defeats in this fixture, conceding a total of 13 times in their three meetings.
Palmeiras look set to continue their dominance of this fixture. Apart from that we also expect a high score. Our prediction for Palmeiras v Universitario de Deportes is for Palmeiras to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras Universitario
| Palmeiras vs Universitario | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 1.29 | 1.3 | +0.8% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.5 | +4.8% |
| Universitario wins | 10 | 9.5 | -5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 76.9% (-0.6%)
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Try your luck on this year's Copa Libertadores! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
