Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Champions League
Europe - Women's Champions League
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by Ian John | in Women's Champions League Predictions
Olympique Lyonnes Women face Arsenal Women in the second leg of their Women's UEFA Champions League semi-final on Saturday. The Gunners lead 2-1 from an exciting first leg which saw them come from a goal down to beat Les Lyonnaises. What will our prediction be for what will be an enthralling second leg match?
The first leg saw Jule Brand give the French side the lead in the first half, but a second half comeback via an Ingrid Engen own goal and an Olivia Smith winner handed the victory to the Gunners, with the current Champions now holding that one-goal lead heading into this second leg tie.
Arsenal have now won three of the last five games against Lyon, and that includes two big victories in France over their rivals, 5-1 back on Matchday 1 of the 2022/23 tournament and a 4-1 win in the semi-final stage of this tournament last season.
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Olympique Lyon v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.31 | 4.61 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.3 | 5.08 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Olympique Lyon and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Olympique Lyon and Arsenal in Women's Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.27% for a win of Olympique Lyon against Arsenal with odds of 1.61 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal is 5.99% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Olympique Lyon with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
Olympique Lyon - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Olympique Lyon Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Olympique Lyon wins | 55.27% | 1.61 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.6% | 1.56 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 81.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Olympique Lyon/Olympique Lyon | 29.88% | 2.38 at LSbet |
Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal Form
Olympique Lyon and Arsenal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
22 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
5 Apr 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
2 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
28 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
2 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
18 Mar 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
10 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
8 Feb 2026 - Division 1, Women
14 Jan 2026 - Division 1, Women
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
5 Apr 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
28 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup
1 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
11 Feb 2026 - Women's Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League
21 Dec 2025 - FA Women's League Cup
17 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League
Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
7 Oct 2025 - Women's Champions League
27 Apr 2025 - Women's Champions League
19 Apr 2025 - Women's Champions League
Olympique Lyon - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Lyon come into this game in the unusual position of failing to win their last two matches. They did beat Strasbourg 6-0 in the Coup de France semi final and then thumped Dijon 4-0 in the league. However they then were beaten 2-1 by Arsenal and drew 1-1 with Nantes in midweek.
Los Fenottes have already won their league and are in their domestic cup final.
Arsenal's league form is excellent with six successive wins in the WSL. A run that includes a 5-0 win over West Ham and a 5-2 win over Tottenham. However they did lose their second leg of the quarter final against Chelsea 1-0, and were beaten 2-0 by Brighton in the Women's FA Cup quarterfinals.
They then followed up their 2-1 win over Lyon in the first leg with a 7-0 thrashing of Leicester City at the weekend. The Gunners are third in the WSL, but have two games in hand on Manchester City and are eight points behind the leaders, who have two games left to play compared to Arsenal's four.
The winner of this tie will face Barcelona or Bayern Munich in the final.
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Players list
C. Endler Mutinelli
DefenderW. Renard
S. Bacha
A. Lawrence
MidfielderD. Dumornay
J. Brand
L. Yohannes
I. Engen
L. Heaps
ForwardK. Diani
A. Hegerberg
D. Van Domselaar
DefenderE. Fox
L. Williamson
L. Wubben-Moy
MidfielderK. Little
ForwardO. Smith
C. Foord
K. McCabe
M. Caldentey
S. Blackstenius
A. Russo
Substitutes
F. Belhadj
L. Marchal
DefenderTarciane
A. Sombath
MidfielderD. Egurrola
S. Svava
A. Korbin
V. Becho
M. Katoto
A. Borbe
B. Votikova
DefenderL. Codina
S. Holmberg
T. Hinds
MidfielderV. Pelova
F. Maanum
M. Dixon
C. Kelly
Olympique Lyon & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Lyonnes should benefit from the return of Selma Bacha and Melchie Dumornay, who were not fit enough to come off the bench in the first leg. Manager Jonatan Giraldez has indicated that he expects both to be fit enough to feature on Saturday.
Dumornay scored both goals in Lyon's 2-1 win over Arsenal on Matchday 1.
Exciting young forward Liana Joseph remains out through injury, while there are also doubts about the fitness of back up Australian goalkeeper Teagan Micah.
Experienced Wendy Renard will captain the side and the tall centre-back is Lyon's second top goalscorer in this competition alongside striker Ada Hegerberg with three goals. Dumornay leads with five goals in the Champions League this season.
Arsenal manager Rene Slegers has more injury concerns than her opponent, but there is some positive news for the Gunners with England striker Chloe Kelly set to be available after missing the first leg.
However, the Gunners boss may have to do without Steph Catley, Olivia Smith and Emily Fox Lyonand Beth Mead with all players rated as doubtful for the trip to the OL Stadium, Decines.
Most goals and assists
Olympique Lyon
Arsenal
D. Dumornay
(5 Goals)
A. Russo
(9 Goals)
Olympique Lyon - Arsenal Key Points
- Lyon have lost both their last two at home to Arsenal, scoring twice, conceding nine goals.
- Arsenal have rattled in 19 goals in their last five games in all competitions.
- Lyon have gone two games without a win, losing to Arsenal, drawing with Nantes.
- Arsenal defeated Lyon 5-3 on aggregate in the semifinals of this competition last season.
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Our Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal Prediction
Our prediction for the Lyonnes Women vs. Arsenal Women Women's UEFA Champions League Semi Final 2nd Leg is: Arsenal wins.
After a superb second half comeback in the first leg, and on the back of some outstanding league form, Arsenal will be confident of completing the job in France. Lyonnes will be very wary against a Gunners time that has thrashed them in both their last two visits to France. The Gunners have the better form and much will depend on the first goal, but we're backing Arsenal to get it and claim the win.
Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Our secondary prediction for the Lyonnes v Arsenal match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
With both Arsenal and Lyon very much in amongst the goals this season, and the first leg showing that both teams are more than capable of breaching the defence of their opponents, backing the Over 2.5 Goals market is a sensible option.
Especially when you consider the quality of attacking talent that is available to both managers with the likes of Alessio Russo, Chloe Kelly, Stiina Blackstenius, Melchie Dumornay, Marie-Antoinette Katoto, Kadidiatou Diana and Ada Hegerberg likely to feature.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Olympique Lyon Arsenal
| Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Lyon wins | 1.59 | 1.61 | +1.3% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.5 | +7.1% |
| Arsenal wins | 4.85 | 5.2 | +7.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Olympique Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.9% and is now 62.1% (-0.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
