Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Phoenix Suns face off in Game 1 of their NBA Playoffs first-round series at the Paycom Center on Sunday. The winner of this series will face either the Lakers or the Rockets in the Conference semi-finals. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will be well-rested heading into the Playoffs to defend their title. They were once again the benchmark this year, ending the season with a 64-18 record.
Amid several injury setbacks, one player who has remained consistent is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He averaged 31.1 PPG and 6.6 assists in the regular season and is the favourite to win MVP again this year.
OKC have the highest-rated defence in the NBA and won the regular-season series against this opponent 3-2. Only Thomas Sorber is out for the hosts.
Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns were given a rude awakening by the Blazers in their first game in the Play-In tournament, but bounced back by beating the Warriors 111-96 on Friday.
The Suns dominated the Dubs and led for practically the entire game. Six players ended that match in double digits, led by Jalen Green with 36 points, four assists and six rebounds.
Phoenix were 45-37 in the regular season and 20-21 on the road. Grayson Allen and Mark Williams are ruled out for the visitors.
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Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.08 | 9 |
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1.07 | 8.6 |
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1.07 | 8.6 |
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|
1.08 | 8.8 |
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|
1.08 | 8.1 |
|
Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns game on 19/04/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 81.13% chance to pick up the win against Phoenix Suns according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.12.
- There is a probability of 18.87% ⭐ for Phoenix Suns to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 9 at Bet365.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Players list
L. Dort
J. Green
D. Booker
J. Goodwin
O. Ighodaro
Substitutes
A. Mitchell
N. Topic
C. Wallace
J. McCain
I. Joe
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
J. Williams
R. Dunn
C. Gillespie
J. Bouyea
G. Allen
R. O'Neale
R. Fleming
H. Highsmith
Oklahoma City Thunder - Phoenix Suns Key Points
- The Thunder only lost seven home games in the regular season.
- The Thunder won the regular season series 3-2 against this opponent.
- The Thunder have won their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Suns have lost their last 13 away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Suns failed to cover the spread in any of their last nine Playoff games when installed as road underdogs.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
While the Suns beat this opponent on the final day of the regular season, the Thunder rested a host of their best players for that game. Two of the Thunder's three wins against the Suns this season were by 20+ points.
Indeed, OKC were nowhere close to being as profitable this year compared to last, but they will be itching to get back on the court here, and we fancy the champs to make a statement with a big win in Game 1. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5.
If your team in the Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
