Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Houston Rockets will travel to Paycom Center to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Saturday. The Rockets (31-19) are fourth in the Western Conference, while OKC (40-12) lead the standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have not been playing at their usual high level of late, having now lost four of their last seven games following a 116-106 loss to the Spurs in midweek.
The key reason behind the champs’ dip in form is the number of injuries they currently have. Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell have been out for a while, and against the Spurs, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Lu Dort, Alex Caruso and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander were all missing.
SGA is now expected to remain sidelined for at least a couple of weeks. Of the aforementioned absentees from the last game, Holmgren, Dort and Hartenstein are upgraded to questionable for this match.
Meanwhile, after a run of five wins in six, the Houston Rockets are now looking to avoid a third straight defeat following losses to the Celtics (114-93) and the Hornets (109-99).
The Rockets are seventh in defensive rating this season, but their offence has experienced a sharp decline recently, ranking 27th in efficiency across their last 10 games.
Houston have failed to score 100 points in their last two games. They are 14-13 on the road and have lost their two games against this opponent so far this season.
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Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.61 | 2.4 |
|
|
1.54 | 2.48 |
|
|
1.54 | 2.48 |
|
|
1.58 | 2.46 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.33 |
|
Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets match is: under 215.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets game on 07/02/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 61.28% chance to pick up the win against Houston Rockets according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.61.
- There is a probability of 38.72% ⭐ for Houston Rockets to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 2.48 at Roobet.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.78 | 82 | 64 | 18 | |
|
8
|
0.634 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
4 Feb 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Feb 2026 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
4 Feb 2026 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Feb 2026 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Feb 2026 - NBA
4 Feb 2026 - NBA
31 Jan 2026 - NBA
28 Jan 2026 - NBA
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20 Jan 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
2 Feb 2026 - NBA
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
15 Jan 2026 - NBA
21 Oct 2025 - NBA
4 Apr 2025 - NBA
3 Mar 2025 - NBA
14 Dec 2024 - NBA
1 Dec 2024 - NBA
Players list
C. Wallace
A. Wiggins
L. Dort
R. Sheppard
T. Eason
J. Smith
K. Durant
Substitutes
A. Mitchell
J. McCain
B. Boeheim
I. Joe
A. Caruso
J. Williams
J. Davison
A. Thompson
A. Holiday
J. Okogie
J. Green
I. Crawford
D. Finney-Smith
Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets Key Points
- Each of the Thunder’s last three home games have gone under the total points line.
- Seven of the Rockets’ last eight games have gone under the total points line.
- Each of the Rockets’ last 13 games against Western Conference opposition have gone under the total points line.
- The Rockets have failed to score 100 points in their last two games.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction
While the Thunder are favoured at home, their entire starting lineup missed the last match, and several are unlikely to be available for this one as well. Until their injury situation starts to improve, OKC are likely to rely on defence to win games.
Given their opponents’ injury issues, the Rockets will be encouraged here, but their offence has been one of the worst in the NBA lately and is playing at one of the slowest paces in the league. Based on the above - our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets prediction is under 215.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
