Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The 2025-26 NBA season is here, and we kick off the campaign with a blockbuster, as the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to take on the Houston Rockets on Tuesday. OKC are the defending champion, while the Rockets finished second in the Western Conference. Check out our match prediction below!
What a season it was for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2024-25! They won 68 games in the regular season - the best record in the franchise’s history - before beating the Pacers in the NBA Finals.
The Thunder will once again be led by reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who led the league with 32.7 PPG. Notably, Jalen Williams is likely to miss a few games in the early-season through injury.
OKC ended last season 35-6 at home and with nine wins in their final 10 games. They also beat the Rockets in three of their five encounters.
Meanwhile, despite bowing out of the Playoffs in the first round to the Warriors, last season was still the best the Houston Rockets had managed in their last six, and also ended their four-year Playoff drought.
Much of the Rockets’ success was due to their excellent defence that allowed teams just 109.8 PPG. However, they bolstered their attack significantly in the offseason by securing the signature of Kevin Durant.
KD is their eighth-highest scorer in the NBA’s history, and he will be crucial in the early stages of the season, with Jalen Williams expected to miss games due to a hamstring issue.
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Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.38 | 3.1 |
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1.36 | 3.1 |
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1.4 | 2.85 |
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1.4 | 3.1 |
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1.37 | 3.12 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets game on 21/10/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 64.85% chance to pick up the win against Houston Rockets according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.4.
- There is a probability of 35.15% ⭐ for Houston Rockets to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 3.34 at Betobet.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.78 | 82 | 64 | 18 | |
|
8
|
0.634 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Jun 2025 - NBA
19 Jun 2025 - NBA
16 Jun 2025 - NBA
13 Jun 2025 - NBA
11 Jun 2025 - NBA
8 Jun 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Jun 2025 - NBA
16 Jun 2025 - NBA
8 Jun 2025 - NBA
5 Jun 2025 - NBA
28 May 2025 - NBA
22 May 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
19 Jun 2025 - NBA
13 Jun 2025 - NBA
11 Jun 2025 - NBA
26 May 2025 - NBA
24 May 2025 - NBA
15 May 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
4 May 2025 - NBA
2 May 2025 - NBA
30 Apr 2025 - NBA
28 Apr 2025 - NBA
26 Apr 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
4 May 2025 - NBA
30 Apr 2025 - NBA
23 Apr 2025 - NBA
20 Apr 2025 - NBA
13 Apr 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
2 May 2025 - NBA
28 Apr 2025 - NBA
26 Apr 2025 - NBA
11 Apr 2025 - NBA
9 Apr 2025 - NBA
6 Apr 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
4 Apr 2025 - NBA
3 Mar 2025 - NBA
14 Dec 2024 - NBA
1 Dec 2024 - NBA
8 Nov 2024 - NBA
27 Mar 2024 - NBA
Players list
C. Wallace
L. Dort
A. Thompson
J. Smith Jr.
K. Durant
Substitutes
C. Youngblood
B. Barnhizer
A. Mitchell
A. Wiggins
A. Caruso
J. Williams
O. Dieng
J. Davison
K. Harris
A. Holiday
J. Okogie
R. Sheppard
J. Green
T. Eason
D. Finney-Smith
J. Tate
Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets Key Points
- Oklahoma City Thunder were 35-6 at home last season.
- Oklahoma City Thunder covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games.
- Oklahoma City Thunder were 3-2 against this opponent last season.
- Houston Rockets have lost nine of their last 10 season openers.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction
An incredible atmosphere is expected at Paycom Center for this season opener between the best in the West last season, and it will be interesting to see how these teams shape up for the new campaign.
Oklahoma City Thunder kick off the season as the red-hot favourites to defend their title. They were incredible at home last term and won three of their five games against the Rockets. We’re going for the defending champs to get the cover in this one. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
