England - Carabao Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
Sixfields Stadium will host the opening round Carabao Cup clash between Northampton Town and Southampton on Tuesday night. This is the first match between the Cobblers and the Saints since November 2009 in the FA Cup. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Northampton Town is still in search of their first-ever EFL Cup title. They have exited the tournament in the first round in each of the last three editions.
The Cobblers finished 19th in League One last season and have made an underwhelming start to the current campaign, losing their first game 3-1 before a goalless draw against Bradford this past weekend.
However, the hosts are unbeaten in their last six home games across all competitions and have kept clean sheets in four of those matches.
Meanwhile, Southampton have reached two EFL Cup finals in their history and got to the quarter-final of the competition last term before bowing out to Liverpool.
Aside from this competition, the Saints had a dismal 2024-25 campaign, getting relegated from the Premier League with just 12 points earned, seven games before the end of the season.
However, they managed to pull off an incredible comeback over Wrexham at the weekend, scoring twice in stoppage time, which will give them some confidence coming into this clash.
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The Best Betting Odds for Northampton Town v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 4.33 | 1.45 |
|
|
7 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.5 | 4 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.33 | 1.45 |
|
|
6.1 | 4.7 | 1.46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Northampton Town and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Northampton Town vs Southampton match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between Northampton Town and Southampton in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.86% for a win of Northampton Town against Southampton with odds of 7 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Northampton Town vs Southampton is 34.44% with odds of 4.7 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Northampton Town with odds of 1.61 at Stake.
Northampton Town - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Northampton Town Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 34.71% | 1.61 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 51.23% | 2.14 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton | 12.53% | 4.5 at Unibet |
Northampton Town vs Southampton Form
Northampton Town and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League One
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - League One
21 Apr 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - League One
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - League One
18 Apr 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
Most goals and assists
Northampton Town
Southampton
M. Forbes
(1 Goals)
J. Stephens
(1 Goals)
, 
R. Manning
(1 Goals)
Northampton Town - Southampton Key Points
- Five of Northampton’s last seven games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Northampton have only kept two clean sheets in their last 13 competitive home games.
- Four of Southampton’s last six games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Southampton have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six competitive away matches.
- Southampton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 13 away games across all competitions.
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Our Northampton Town vs Southampton Prediction
While Northampton Town endured a turbulent 2024-25 season, they did end the campaign with a solid home record and will fancy their chances here against a Saints side that is coming off a dismal campaign themselves.
Southampton will be feeling better after their dramatic late win over Wrexham this past weekend, but it was yet another illustration that they are a long way from being able to back with any confidence. That said, we’re anticipating a few goals in this one. Our Northampton Town vs Southampton prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Northampton Town Southampton
| Northampton Town vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Town wins | 5.5 | 7 | +27.3% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.33 | +5.6% |
| Southampton wins | 1.57 | 1.45 | -7.6% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 69.0% (5.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Northampton Town vs. Southampton game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Northampton Town and Southampton? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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