Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo in FA Cup Predictions
Newcastle United have two cup games lined up in the space of three days, but their focus right now is on the impending FA Cup fixture, where they are set to host Bournemouth at St. Jame's Park in the third round before meeting Manchester City in the EFL Cup. Let's head into the match prediction.
Newcastle United and Bournemouth have met each other three times in this competition. The two sides have both recorded one win, with one outing ending in a draw. However, their last meeting dates back to 1992, with Bournemouth winning 4-3 on penalties in the third round replay.
These sides have already met once in Premier League action this season, and that meeting ended in a goalless draw. For the Cherries, that was a positive result, considering it extended their unbeaten run in this fixture to six matches across all competitions. Can the visitors avoid another defeat here? Read on for our full match analysis below!
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.71 | 4 | 4.2 |
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1.8 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
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1.73 | 3.7 | 4 |
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1.73 | 3.95 | 4.25 |
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1.73 | 4 | 4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Bournemouth match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Newcastle and Bournemouth in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.15% for a win of Newcastle against Bournemouth with odds of 1.8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Bournemouth is 32.5% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Newcastle with odds of 4.45 at Shangrila.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Form
Newcastle and Bournemouth Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
11 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Newcastle United recently secured a gritty 4-3 home victory against Leeds United in midweek Premier League action. This extended their league-winning streak to three games.
The Magpies' motivation should be at a high as they enter the third round of the FA Cup. Home advantage could be key to their success in this competition, having avoided defeat in their last 12 games at St. Jame's Park across all competitions (W10, D2).
Success here could see them progress beyond the third round for the first time since the 2011-12 edition, where they defeated Blackburn, who at that time were a Premier League outfit.
Newcastle United have lost their last four FA Cup matches against Premier League opposition in the third round.
Bournemouth have not been the best-performing team lately, particularly in the Premier League. The visitors have won just one of their last 12 matches heading into this clash.
The Cherries' only win came on Wednesday when they defeated Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 at home to end an 11-match winless run.
The Cherries also start in the third round of the FA Cup. Their performance in this competition has been outstanding, particularly on the road. They've won their last four away matches in this competition, with their last win coming against Everton in February 2025.
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Pope
DefenderS. Botman
K. Trippier
ForwardW. Osula
Joelinton
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderB. Doak
ForwardR. Christie
Newcastle & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Newcastle United have five players in the injury room, including Dan Burn, Jamaal Lascelles, William Osula, Emil Krafth, and Anthony Elanga.
Head coach Eddie Howe is likely to opt for a 4-3-3 formation in this one, as has been the case in the past few weeks. Yoane Wissa is expected to lead the attack while Murphy and Woltemade provide support from the wings.
Nick Woltemade provided a crucial assist last time out against Leeds United. The 23-year-old has made 27 appearances for the club this season and has scored nine goals. He could prove to be a game-changer as he seeks to score his first goal in the FA Cup.
Antoine Semenyo has scored two goals in his last three away appearances.
Bournemouth, on the other hand, have six players in the injury room, with a majority of them being long-term absentees.
The Cherries will leave nothing to chance in this upcoming encounter, meaning they are likely to name a strong starting lineup.
Evanilson has been in red-hot form for the team recently. He scored the team's first goal against Tottenham Hotspur last time out, which marked the second successive time he has rattled the net. Another key player to watch out for has to be Antoine Semenyo. The Ghanaian international has scored four goals in the last six matches.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle - Bournemouth Key Points
- Newcastle United have seen two of their last three matches end with over 2.5 goals.
- Bournemouth have seen each of their last eight away matches end with over 2.5 goals.
- Newcastle United are averaging 1.9 goals per game at home, while Bournemouth are averaging 1.7 goals per game away.
- Bournemouth have conceded 25 goals in their last eight away matches.
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Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction
Newcastle United have been the better side on paper in terms of form. They've won three consecutive matches and scored three or more goals in two of those outings. For a side considered to be cup specialists, a positive outcome should be on the cards.
Bournemouth's defense could turn out to be their undoing in this clash. The visitors are conceding 2.2 goals per game on the road. Additionally, they have conceded three or more goals in six of their last eight matches. With that being said, expect a high-scoring affair. Our Newcastle United vs Bournemouth prediction: more than 2.5 goals.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.