New Zealand vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

New Zealand
09/09/2025 03:00
Australia

Prediction :

 

Australia wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Australia and New Zealand will renew their trans-Tasman rivalry in another international friendly this Tuesday. The two nations meet in a second buildup in a week, hosted in Canberra. Read on to find our prediction for the match.

In their first clash on Friday, Soceroos debutant Max Balard scored the lone goal as Australia beat New Zealand. That extended New Zealand’s winless run in this fixture spanning back to over 20 years.

It was also their second straight defeat after earlier falling 2-1 to Ukraine. Earlier in matches featuring largely Oceania nations, New Zealand had gone on a seven-match winning streak.

Facing Australia will offer a better measure of their preparedness for the 2026 World Cup. 

Australia’s preparations for their sixth straight World Cup appearance are in order, and they come here with the better run of form. The 1-0 win on Friday made it four straight wins over New Zealand in the last three years.

In all those victories, they kept clean sheets. Australia are also on five straight wins and a run of 10 unbeaten matches since the shock loss to Bahrain in September 2024.

That stands as their only defeat in the past 15 matches, and the Socceroos are favorites to extend this run. Conceding only once in the last four games will also be a source of positivity for the team.

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New Zealand v Australia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
100 11.5 1.01
1xbet
84 20 1.01
Melbet
3.3 3.1 2.35
Betwinner
3.34 3.16 2.29
Bet365
3.2 2.9 2.38
Check all New Zealand vs Australia odds

What is the prediction for the football match between New Zealand and Australia?

Our prediction for the New Zealand vs Australia match is: Australia wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between New Zealand and Australia in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.56% for a win of New Zealand against Australia with odds of 100 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between New Zealand vs Australia is 20.89% with odds of 20 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Australia vs New Zealand with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.

New Zealand - Australia Prediction and Best Odds:

New Zealand Australia Prediction Probability Odds
Australia wins 44.56% 2.38 at Bet365
Under 2.5 50.67% 1.95 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 66.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Australia 20.37% 5.5 at Bet365

New Zealand vs Australia Form

New Zealand and Australia Last Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  2
Ukraine

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  0
Côte d'Ivoire

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

New Caledonia
0 :  3
New Zealand

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

New Zealand
7 :  0
Fiji

18 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Samoa
0 :  8
New Zealand
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
4 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  2
Ukraine

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  0
Côte d'Ivoire

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

New Zealand
7 :  0
Fiji

15 Nov 2024 - World Cup

New Zealand
8 :  1
Vanuatu

14 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
4 :  0
Malaysia

10 Oct 2024 - World Cup

New Zealand
3 :  0
Tahiti
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

New Caledonia
0 :  3
New Zealand

18 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Samoa
0 :  8
New Zealand

10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
New Zealand

7 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
3 :  0
New Zealand

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Egypt
1 :  0
New Zealand
Australia
Australia Last matches
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  2
Australia

5 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Australia
1 :  0
Japan

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

China PR
0 :  2
Australia

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Australia
5 :  1
Indonesia

19 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Bahrain
2 :  2
Australia
L W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

5 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Australia
1 :  0
Japan

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Australia
5 :  1
Indonesia

14 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Australia
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

10 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Australia
3 :  1
China PR

5 Sept 2024 - World Cup

Australia
0 :  1
Bahrain
W D D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  2
Australia

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

China PR
0 :  2
Australia

19 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Bahrain
2 :  2
Australia

15 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Australia

10 Sept 2024 - World Cup

Indonesia
0 :  0
Australia

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Bangladesh
0 :  2
Australia

New Zealand vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New Zealand

0 %

Draw

0 %

Australia

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

22 Sept 2022 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

Players list

New Zealand
New Zealand
Goalkeeper

A. Paulsen

Defender

T. Payne

L. Cacace

T. Bindon

F. Surman

Midfielder

M. Stamenic

E. Just

S. Singh

A. Rufer

Forward

C. Wood

J. Randall

Australia
Australia
Goalkeeper

M. Ryan

Defender

J. Bos

L. Herrington

H. Souttar

A. Circati

J. Italiano

Midfielder

A. O'Neill

C. Metcalfe

J. Irvine

Forward

M. Toure

M. Leckie

Substitutes

New Zealand
New Zealand
Goalkeeper

M. Woud

M. Crocombe

Defender

M. Boxall

T. Smith

N. Pijnaker

C. Elliot

F. De Vries

Midfielder

C. McCowatt

M. Garbett

B. Old

L. Bayliss

Forward

B. Waine

K. Barbarouses

Australia
Australia
Goalkeeper

P. Beach

P. Izzo

Defender

A. Behich

M. Degenek

J. Geria

C. Burgess

K. Rowles

K. Trewin

Midfielder

P. Okon-Engstler

C. Devlin

Forward

N. Irankunda

N. Velupillay

A. Mabil

A. Hrustic

M. Boyle

New Zealand - Australia Key Points

  1. New Zealand are coming off two straight defeats.
  2. Australia are unbeaten in their last 10 outings.
  3. Australia have won each of their last five matches.
  4. New Zealand lost their last four meetings with Australia since 2022.
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Our New Zealand vs Australia Prediction

Australia have everything going in their favor ahead of this match. On Friday, they claimed the bragging rights in this matchup with a 1-0 win. That was their fourth straight victory and clean sheet in this fixture across the last three years. Australia have now posted five straight wins and will feel even more confident being on a 10-game undefeated run.

On the other hand, New Zealand have suffered back-to-back defeats ahead of this match and have generally struggled against opponents as strong as Australia. Our prediction for this latest New Zealand v Australia meeting is that Australia wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Australia wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis New Zealand Australia

New Zealand vs Australia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
New Zealand wins 3.2 100 +3,025.0%
Draw 3.3 20 +506.1%
Australia wins 2.16 2.38 +10.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Australia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 46.3% and is now 42.0% (-4.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New Zealand vs Australia Prediction