New Zealand vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Australia and New Zealand will renew their trans-Tasman rivalry in another international friendly this Tuesday. The two nations meet in a second buildup in a week, hosted in Canberra. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
In their first clash on Friday, Soceroos debutant Max Balard scored the lone goal as Australia beat New Zealand. That extended New Zealand’s winless run in this fixture spanning back to over 20 years.
It was also their second straight defeat after earlier falling 2-1 to Ukraine. Earlier in matches featuring largely Oceania nations, New Zealand had gone on a seven-match winning streak.
Facing Australia will offer a better measure of their preparedness for the 2026 World Cup.
Australia’s preparations for their sixth straight World Cup appearance are in order, and they come here with the better run of form. The 1-0 win on Friday made it four straight wins over New Zealand in the last three years.
In all those victories, they kept clean sheets. Australia are also on five straight wins and a run of 10 unbeaten matches since the shock loss to Bahrain in September 2024.
That stands as their only defeat in the past 15 matches, and the Socceroos are favorites to extend this run. Conceding only once in the last four games will also be a source of positivity for the team.
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New Zealand v Australia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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100 | 11.5 | 1.01 |
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84 | 20 | 1.01 |
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3.3 | 3.1 | 2.35 |
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3.34 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
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3.2 | 2.9 | 2.38 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between New Zealand and Australia?
Our prediction for the New Zealand vs Australia match is: Australia wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between New Zealand and Australia in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.56% for a win of New Zealand against Australia with odds of 100 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between New Zealand vs Australia is 20.89% with odds of 20 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Australia vs New Zealand with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
New Zealand - Australia Prediction and Best Odds:
| New Zealand Australia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Australia wins | 44.56% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.67% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Australia | 20.37% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
New Zealand vs Australia Form
New Zealand and Australia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sept 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
New Zealand vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Sept 2022 - International Friendlies
Players list
A. Paulsen
DefenderT. Payne
L. Cacace
T. Bindon
F. Surman
MidfielderM. Stamenic
E. Just
S. Singh
A. Rufer
ForwardC. Wood
J. Randall
M. Ryan
DefenderJ. Bos
L. Herrington
H. Souttar
A. Circati
J. Italiano
MidfielderA. O'Neill
C. Metcalfe
J. Irvine
ForwardM. Toure
M. Leckie
Substitutes
M. Woud
M. Crocombe
DefenderM. Boxall
T. Smith
N. Pijnaker
C. Elliot
F. De Vries
MidfielderC. McCowatt
M. Garbett
B. Old
L. Bayliss
ForwardB. Waine
K. Barbarouses
P. Beach
P. Izzo
DefenderA. Behich
M. Degenek
J. Geria
C. Burgess
K. Rowles
K. Trewin
MidfielderP. Okon-Engstler
C. Devlin
ForwardN. Irankunda
N. Velupillay
A. Mabil
A. Hrustic
M. Boyle
New Zealand - Australia Key Points
- New Zealand are coming off two straight defeats.
- Australia are unbeaten in their last 10 outings.
- Australia have won each of their last five matches.
- New Zealand lost their last four meetings with Australia since 2022.
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Our New Zealand vs Australia Prediction
Australia have everything going in their favor ahead of this match. On Friday, they claimed the bragging rights in this matchup with a 1-0 win. That was their fourth straight victory and clean sheet in this fixture across the last three years. Australia have now posted five straight wins and will feel even more confident being on a 10-game undefeated run.
On the other hand, New Zealand have suffered back-to-back defeats ahead of this match and have generally struggled against opponents as strong as Australia. Our prediction for this latest New Zealand v Australia meeting is that Australia wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis New Zealand Australia
| New Zealand vs Australia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand wins | 3.2 | 100 | +3,025.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 20 | +506.1% |
| Australia wins | 2.16 | 2.38 | +10.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Australia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.3% and is now 42.0% (-4.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.