USA - Major League Soccer
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Major League Soccer Predictions
New York City and Toronto posted mixed results in their latest outings but will be out, batting for three points this Friday. This MLS meeting finds Toronto sitting 13th in the Eastern Conference and hosts New York City ninth. Below we have the preview and a prediction for the match.
New York City suffered a shock 1-0 loss away to struggling CF Montreal in their latest outing. Victor Loturi scored the game’s only goal in the first half, and New York could not respond.
With that, they recorded a second defeat in the last 10 league matches. At home, they have posted three wins in the last four league matches.
Toronto will be keen to take over from where their fellow Canadians left off. They are coming from a win at home against the Portland Timbers and will be looking to carry the same to New York.
That was only their fourth win of the season in the MLS and their first in their last five matches. Toronto’s last 10 league matches have returned just three wins. They will also be much more concerned about their away record in this fixture.
In the last five visits to New York City, Toronto are winless in all competitions, losing four. Three times in those five matches, they conceded three or more.
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The Best Betting Odds for New York City v Toronto FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.1 | 5.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between New York City and Toronto FC?
Our prediction for the New York City vs Toronto FC match is: New York City wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/07/2025 between New York City and Toronto FC in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.62% for a win of New York City against Toronto FC with odds of 1.61 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between New York City vs Toronto FC is 14.64% with odds of 4.25 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Toronto FC vs New York City with odds of 5.51 at 22bet.
New York City vs Toronto FC Form
New York City and Toronto FC's standings in the Major League Soccer
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
28 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
|
13
|
17 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -3 |
New York City and Toronto FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
12 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
10 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
7 May 2025 - US Open Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
19 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
19 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
6 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
22 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
8 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
1 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
New York City vs Toronto FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
11 May 2024 - Major League Soccer
16 Mar 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
26 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
29 Apr 2023 - Major League Soccer
New York City vs Toronto FC last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
M. Freese
DefenderT. Gray
MidfielderK. Parks
ForwardM. Jones
A. Martinez
N. Gomis
K. Franklin
H. Wingo
Z. Monlouis
R. Laryea
MidfielderM. Cimermancic
D. Flores
J. Osorio
ForwardF. Bernardeschi
Most goals and assists
New York City
Toronto FC
A. Martinez
(8 Goals)
, 
H. Wolf
(8 Goals)
F. Bernardeschi
(4 Goals)
, 
T. Corbeanu
(4 Goals)
J. Fernandez
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Haak
(3 Assists)
F. Bernardeschi
(3 Assists)
New York City - Toronto FC Key Points
- New York City have three wins in the last four home league matches.
- New York City lost only two of their last seven league games.
- Toronto FC lost four times in their last five visits to New York.
- Toronto FC have managed just four wins in the league so far.
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Our New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction
New York City have the upper hand coming into this game. Playing at home is just one of the advantages they carry into this game. They have three wins in the last four home league matches. New York also come into this game having gone unbeaten in their last five matches against Toronto across all competitions.
They won four of those five matches. Meanwhile, Toronto just managed their fourth win of the season in the league, a recovery from three straight defeats and a draw. Our prediction for New York City v Toronto FC is that New York City wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the New York City vs. Toronto FC game!
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Try your luck on this year's Major League Soccer! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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