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Netherlands vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Netherlands
04/09/2025 14:45
Poland

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions

World Cup 2026 qualification (UEFA) resumes this week, and on Thursday, we’re off to De Kuip to see the Netherlands take on Poland. Oranje and the White and Reds are second and third in Group G, respectively. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Owing to their participation in the Nations League quarter-finals, the Netherlands only began their World Cup qualifiers in June. They’ve won both their matches so far, beating Finland 2-0 before smashing eight without response past Malta. 

Memphis Depay is already the leading goal-scorer in this group with three goals (and an assist), while Donyell Malen has two goals and an assist to his name.  

Oranje are now unbeaten in their last six matches in regulation time and scored two or more goals in five of those games. The only defeat they have suffered in 90 minutes in their last 10 games was against Germany.

Meanwhile, many feel that the winner of this match will likely go on to secure top spot in the group (and secure direct qualification). 

However, after back-to-back 2-0 victories over Malta and Moldova in this competition, the Owls suffered a setback in their last match, losing 2-1 to Finland on the road. Still, they have now only failed to score in one of their last 10 matches across all competitions. 

Poland have lost seven of their last eight matches against this opponent (D1 L7) and have not beaten them since 1979. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Netherlands v Poland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.27 5.75 11
Betfred
1.25 6 12
William Hill
1.25 5 11
Betway
1.22 5.5 10
Ladbrokes
1.55 3 7.5
Check all Netherlands vs Poland odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and Poland?

Our prediction for the Netherlands vs Poland match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/09/2025 between Netherlands and Poland in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.24% for a win of Netherlands against Poland with odds of 1.55 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs Poland is 28.95% with odds of 6 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 16.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs Netherlands with odds of 12.9 at 22bet.

Netherlands vs Poland Form

Netherlands and Poland's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Netherlands
Netherlands
6 2 2 0 0 10
3
Poland
Poland
6 3 2 0 1 2

Netherlands and Poland Last Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands Last matches
W D D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
8 :  0
Malta

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  3
Netherlands

20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Spain

19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Netherlands

16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
4 :  0
Hungary
L W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
8 :  0
Malta

20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Spain

16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
4 :  0
Hungary

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Germany

7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
5 :  2
Bosnia Herzegovina

10 Jul 2024 - Euro

Netherlands
1 :  2
England
W D L D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  3
Netherlands

19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Netherlands

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  0
Netherlands

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
1 :  1
Netherlands

2 Jul 2024 - Euro

Romania
0 :  3
Netherlands
Poland
Poland Last matches
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  0
Moldova

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Malta

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  0
Lithuania

18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
1 :  2
Scotland

15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  1
Poland
L D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  0
Moldova

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Malta

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  0
Lithuania

18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
1 :  2
Scotland

15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
3 :  3
Croatia

12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
1 :  3
Portugal
D D W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  1
Poland

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Croatia
1 :  0
Poland

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
2 :  3
Poland

25 Jun 2024 - Euro

France
1 :  1
Poland

26 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland

Netherlands vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Netherlands

80 %

Draw

20 %

Poland

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.6
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.8
Goals scored (home team)
0.8
Goals scored (away team)
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

16 Jun 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  2
Netherlands

22 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  2
Netherlands

11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Poland

18 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
1 :  2
Netherlands

4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
1 :  0
Poland
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Netherlands vs Poland last Lineups

Netherlands

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
M. Flekken
22
D. Dumfries
6
S. De Vrij
4
V. van Dijk
15
M. van de Ven
8
R. Gravenberch
19
J. Kluivert
21
F. de Jong
7
X. Simons
10
M. Depay
11
C. Gakpo
11
K. Swiderski
23
K. Piatek
21
N. Zalewski
8
J. Moder
17
B. Slisz
10
S. Szymanski
2
M. Cash
14
J. Kiwior
5
J. Bednarek
16
M. Skrzypczak
1
L. Skorupski

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Poland

Missing players

Netherlands
Netherlands
Defender

J. Frimpong

Poland
Poland

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Netherlands
CD Huachipato Poland
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands M. Depay (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland K. Swiderski (2 Goals)

Netherlands - Poland Key Points

  1. Ten of the Netherlands’ last 15 matches have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. The Netherlands have scored two or more goals in each of their last five home games.
  3. Nine of Poland’s last 15 matches have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Poland have only failed to score in one of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
  5. Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Netherlands vs Poland Prediction

The Netherlands have rebounded superbly from their heartbreak in the Nations League against Spain and are the odds-on favourites to top this group and punch their ticket to the 2026 World Cup. 

After slipping up against Finland, winning this match will be crucial to Poland’s hopes of securing pole position. We’re not sold on their chances of pulling off an upset here, but we do feel they will get on the scoresheet. Our Netherlands vs Poland prediction is both teams to score. 

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Netherlands vs Poland Prediction
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