Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Napoli’s title defence in the Italian Serie A isn’t going to plan, and they’ll need a revival when Sassuolo visits on Saturday. In the run-up to the match, Napoli are third while Sassuolo are 11th in the standings. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Three straight draws have pulled Napoli back in their title defence. In their latest outing, they played to a 0-0 draw with Parma, a result that saw them fall six points behind league leaders Inter Milan.
A second straight home game might offer them the comfort they need. In their 13 matches at home this season, Napoli are unbeaten, winning eight.
Sassuolo’s schedule hasn’t been very kind so far in 2026. Their last two matches were against sides in the top five, and now they get to face the third-placed side.
Against Juventus, they suffered a 3-0 defeat, and in their most recent outing, they fell 2-0 to AS Roma. These results left Sassuolo winless in the last six matches, having lost three times in the process.
They will be keen not to pick up a third straight defeat for the first time this season. Having managed just three wins in 10 away league matches, the signs don’t look so good for Sassuolo.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Sassuolo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.33 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.4 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.36 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.3 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 7.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Sassuolo?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Sassuolo match is: Napoli to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Napoli and Sassuolo in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.06% for a win of Napoli against Sassuolo with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Sassuolo is 32.64% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Sassuolo vs Napoli with odds of 7.8 at 888Starz.
Napoli - Sassuolo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Sassuolo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 55.06% | 1.51 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 58.03% | 1.86 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.83% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 27.25% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Sassuolo Form
Napoli and Sassuolo's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
40 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +13 |
|
11
|
23 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -4 |
Napoli and Sassuolo Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
24 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
28 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Sassuolo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
28 Feb 2024 - Serie A
27 Aug 2023 - Serie A
17 Feb 2023 - Serie A
29 Oct 2022 - Serie A
30 Apr 2022 - Serie A
Napoli vs Sassuolo last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
N. Contini
M. Ferrante
DefenderL. Marianucci
L. Spinazzola
S. Beukema
M. Gutierrez
MidfielderE. Elmas
A. Vergara
ForwardD. Neres
G. Ambrosino
L. Lucca
G. Zacchi
G. Satalino
S. Turati
DefenderT. Macchioni
L. Barani
C. Odenthal
Y. Paz Blandon
MidfielderE. Iannoni
A. Vranckx
ForwardL. Skjellerup
W. Cheddira
L. Moro
N. Pierini
Missing players
J. Jesus
MidfielderK. De Bruyne
F. Anguissa
B. Gilmour
L. Hasa
ForwardR. Lukaku
F. Romagna
E. Pieragnolo
MidfielderD. Boloca
K. Thorstvedt
C. Volpato
ForwardD. Berardi
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Sassuolo
R. Hojlund
(6 Goals)
D. Berardi
(4 Goals)
,
A. Pinamonti
(4 Goals)
M. Politano
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Mctominay
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Neres
(3 Assists)
C. Volpato
(4 Assists)
Napoli and Sassuolo Stats in Serie A
Napoli - Sassuolo Key Points
- In their latest three defeats, Sassuolo failed to score.
- Napoli kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.
- Napoli are unbeaten in 13 home matches, winning eight.
- Sassuolo scored once in the last five matches against Napoli.
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Our Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction
Napoli will be fired up for this match as they play at home and need to bounce back from three straight draws. The six points lost have left them trailing Inter Milan by six, and at Napoli the pressure is starting to rise.
Fortunately, they face a side they’ve dominated over the past few meetings. In each of the last six meetings between these sides, Napoli won. Sassuolo scored only twice in those six games, and they could find it hard here too. Our prediction for Napoli v Sassuolo is for Napoli to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Sassuolo
| Napoli vs Sassuolo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.48 | 1.51 | +2.0% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.5 | +2.3% |
| Sassuolo wins | 9 | 7.8 | -13.3% |
At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 66.2% (-1.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Sassuolo game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
