Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Bologna
18/01/2026 09:00
Fiorentina

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Right after ending their winless streak, Bologna goes straight into another tricky encounter in Serie A, at home to Fiorentina. The season hasn’t shaped out well for Fiorentina, who sit 18th before this round, while Bologna are eighth. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Bologna came from behind to stun Verona 3-2 on the road in their last match. That was their first win in eight matches across all competitions. After sinking one relegation-threatened side, they are targeting a similar treatment on another.

Four defeats in their last eight matches reveal their shaky side, though. At home in the last four league matches, they are winless, losing twice.

While Fiorentina will look at Bologna’s woes in recent weeks and feel this is a winnable game, head-to-head history doesn’t favor them. In their away matches against Bologna, Fiorentina suffered defeat, and in the latest two, they failed to score.

Despite looking second best in this matchup, Fiorentina have registered their most improvement domestically in the past few weeks. Last time out they conceded very late in a 1-1 draw with AC Milan.

That was their third unbeaten outing, all in Serie A. Their two wins so far in the league came inside the last five outings.

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Bologna v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.5 3.25 3
Melbet
2.28 3.28 3.24
Betwinner
2.48 3.18 3
Bet365
2.35 3.3 3.1
Roobet
2.34 3.3 3.05
Check all Bologna vs Fiorentina odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Bologna vs Fiorentina match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Bologna and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.68% for a win of Bologna against Fiorentina with odds of 2.6 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Fiorentina is 33.46% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Bologna with odds of 3.24 at Melbet.

Bologna - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Bologna Fiorentina Prediction Probability Odds
Bologna wins 38.68% 2.6 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 56% 2.04 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 59.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bologna 22.34% 6 at Bet365

Bologna vs Fiorentina Form

Bologna and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Bologna
56 38 16 8 14 +3
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Bologna and Fiorentina Last Matches

Bologna
Bologna Last matches
L D L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  3
Bologna

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  1
Bologna

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Sassuolo

22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
Bologna
L W L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Sassuolo

19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Juventus

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
2 :  1
Parma

1 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  3
Cremonese
D W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  3
Bologna

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  1
Bologna

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
Bologna

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Bologna

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L W L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Dynamo Kyiv

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
0 :  1
AEK Athens
D L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Bologna vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bologna

33 %

Draw

33 %

Fiorentina

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Bologna

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  2
Bologna

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Bologna

12 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Bologna

Bologna against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Bologna

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
F. Ravaglia
2
E. Holm
16
N. Casale
14
T. Heggem
33
J. Miranda
4
T. Pobega
8
R. Freuler
7
R. Orsolini
21
J. Odgaard
28
N. Cambiaghi
9
S. Castro
10
A. Gudmundsson
91
R. Piccoli
65
F. Parisi
27
C. Ndour
8
R. Mandragora
44
N. Fagioli
21
R. Gosens
5
M. Pongracic
15
P. Comuzzo
2
Dodo
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Fiorentina

Substitutes

Bologna
Bologna
Goalkeeper

L. Skorupski

M. Pessina

Defender

L. De Silvestri

N. Zortea

E. Holm 46'

C. Lykogiannis

M. Vitik

Midfielder

G. Fabbian

J. Odgaard 46'

L. Ferguson

T. Pobega 72'

Sulemana

N. Moro

R. Freuler 46'

Forward

T. Dallinga

B. Dominguez

J. Rowe

R. Orsolini 46'

C. Immobile

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

O. Christensen

L. Lezzerini

Defender

L. Ranieri

N. Fagioli 90'

E. Kouadio

N. Fortini

F. Parisi 80'

L. Balbo

E. Kospo

Midfielder

M. Solomon

A. Gudmundsson 72'

J. Fazzini

S. Sohm

C. Ndour 72'

M. Brescianini

R. Mandragora 72'

Forward

H. Caviglia

R. Braschi

Missing players

Bologna
Bologna
Defender

K. Bonifazi

J. Lucumi

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Midfielder

A. Sabiri

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bologna
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Italy R. Orsolini (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Best assists
Italy N. Cambiaghi (4 Assists) , 
Spain J. Miranda (4 Assists)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)

Bologna - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Both sides scored in six of these sides’ last 10 meetings.
  2. In six of Fiorentina’s last nine matches, both sides scored.
  3. Bologna failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 games.
  4. In their last seven league games, Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet.
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Our Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction

Across these two sides’ last six meetings when hosted at Bologna, only two returned clean sheets. Fiorentina have in particular been poor defensively on their travels in this fixture. Three times in their last five clashes away to Bologna, they conceded two or more goals.

Bologna themselves haven't been at their best defensively; in the last 10 matches, they failed to keep a clean sheet. The goals market, therefore, looks appealing for this encounter. Our prediction for Bologna v Fiorentina is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bologna Fiorentina

Bologna vs Fiorentina Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Bologna wins 2.39 2.6 +8.8%
Draw 3.32 3.45 +3.9%
Fiorentina wins 3.37 3.24 -3.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bologna is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 41.8% and is now 38.5% (-3.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction