Parma vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Parma have done well in recent away matches and will be looking to carry the same when they return home to face Genoa. The two sides remain in the bottom half but are here with a chance to further move away from the relegation region. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
Both sides claimed points in their latest outings. Hosts Parma put up a respectable performance to hold champions Napoli to a 0-0 draw. It has been very positive for them in recent times, and they come here on just one defeat in five league games.
They, however, remain one of the lowest scorers in the league, having netted just 14 in 20 matches.
Genoa, who trail Parma by three points, gave themselves a big boost with a 3-0 win at home to Cagliari. That was only their fourth win of the season, and they will be fired up for this, holding a three-game unbeaten run.
The earlier two were draws though. Genoa, with that win, opened up a five-point gap from the relegation region. With a three-match undefeated run against Parma, they can afford some confidence going into the weekend encounter.
Their latest meeting back in October ended goalless, the third straight clean sheet in this fixture.
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Parma v Genoa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.95 | 2.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.95 | 2.67 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.95 | 2.67 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.63 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.64 | 2.94 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Parma vs Genoa match is: Genoa to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Parma and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.96% for a win of Parma against Genoa with odds of 3.01 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Genoa is 30.79% with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Parma with odds of 3.01 at 888Starz.
Parma - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 42.25% | 3.01 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.64% | 2.11 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genoa | 18.74% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Parma vs Genoa Form
Parma and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
|
16
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Parma and Genoa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
Parma vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 Feb 2023 - Serie B
3 Sept 2022 - Serie B
19 Mar 2021 - Serie A
Parma against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
G. Casentini
F. Rinaldi
DefenderTroilo
M. Lovik
S. Britschgi
O. Sorensen
C. Ordonez
B. Cremaschi
M. Djuric
P. Cutrone
A. Benedyczak
E. Lysionok
D. Sommariva
DefenderS. Otoa
MidfielderJ. Onana
P. Masini
H. Cuenca
M. Thorsby
M. Cornet
ForwardJ. Messias
S. Fini
J. Nuredini
J. Ekhator
L. Venturino
Missing players
N. Ndiaye
ForwardM. Frigan
B. Siegrist
Most goals and assists
Parma
Genoa
M. Pellegrino
(9 Goals)
L. Colombo
(7 Goals)
H. Caviglia
(4 Assists)
A. Martin
(4 Assists)
Parma - Genoa Key Points
- Parma scored once in their last four home games.
- Parma lost three of their latest four home matches.
- Genoa are unbeaten in four Serie A meetings with Parma.
- Genoa haven't lost any of their last three outings, winning one.
- In the last three meetings with Parma, Genoa kept clean sheets.
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Our Parma vs Genoa Prediction
Parma and Genoa have registered a lot of positives in their recent outings, boosting their survival hopes significantly. Here, though, it is Genoa we are going to back, as they have dominated this fixture. In their last four topflight matches against Parma, they are unbeaten, with three wins.
Genoa also kept clean sheets in their latest three matches against Parma. Parma’s home form hasn’t been very encouraging in recent times, losing three of the last four matches there. As such, our prediction for Parma v Genoa is for Genoa to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Genoa
| Parma vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 2.79 | 3.01 | +7.9% |
| Draw | 3.09 | 2.85 | -7.8% |
| Genoa wins | 3 | 3.01 | +0.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genoa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 33.2% (-0.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
