Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Rome
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Fourth seed Iga Swiatek continues her quest for another Italian Open title, taking on 15th seed Naomi Osaka. This is their fourth career meeting, and our prediction for this match favors a Swiatek win.
Naomi Osaka was in fine form in the last round, eliminating Diana Shnaider by the loss of just three games. With that win, the former world number one qualified for week two in the Italian capital for a third straight season.
A former quarter-finalist in this event, Osaka has improved to a 9-4 record and is 4-1 on clay. The world number 16 defeated Swiatek in their very first meeting back in 2019.
Iga Swiatek has won the last two meetings with Osaka. Their most recent battle took place two seasons ago at the French Open.
The former world number one would go on to be crowned champion in Paris that year. She will hope that another victory leads to a similar domino effect.
Swiatek, who has won three titles in Rome, defeated Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the last round. She lost just one game in the match as she moved back up to third in the live ranking.
Swiatek is seeking her first title of a shaky season so far and is currently on a 16-8 record.
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Naomi Osaka v Iga Swiatek Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.24 | 1.34 |
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3.44 | 1.31 |
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3.75 | 1.29 |
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3.45 | 1.28 |
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|
3.45 | 1.28 |
|
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Who will win the Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek game on 11/05/2026 of the current WTA Rome season:
- Naomi Osaka has a 32.08% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.8.
- Iga Swiatek has a 67.92% probability of winning facing Naomi Osaka ⭐ with odds of 1.34 at Melbet.
Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Naomi Osaka has a 32.08 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | 32.08 % |
| Iga Swiatek | 67.92 % |
Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek Form
Naomi Osaka and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 May 2026 - WTA Rome
8 May 2026 - WTA Rome
27 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
21 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 May 2026 - WTA Rome
8 May 2026 - WTA Rome
23 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
15 Apr 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
19 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
29 May 2024 - WTA French Open
Naomi Osaka - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Swiatek has won twice previously against Osaka.
- Swiatek is a three-time Italian Open champion.
- One of Swiatek’s two wins against Osaka was achieved on clay.
- Osaka lost five of her last six duels against a top-10-ranked opponent.
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Our Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Swiatek has been a bit wobbly this season and hasn’t looked like her dominant self. Lately, however, she has been calmer, going by her recent match. The Pole is a nightmare opponent whenever she is in tune and comes here as the favorite against Osaka.
Swiatek has won the last two meetings with Osaka, with the more recent matchup taking place on a clay surface. Ahead of this meeting, it is also worth remembering that Swiatek has won multiple titles in Rome. Our prediction for Naomi Osaka v Iga Swiatek is that Iga Swiatek wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
