Morocco vs Madagascar Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

Morocco
02/06/2026 13:00
Madagascar

Prediction :

 

Morocco wins and over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

As the 2026 FIFA World Cup draws closer, Morocco are determined to continue their rich vein of form in preparation for the tournament as they host Madagascar at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah. The Atlas Lions are unbeaten in their last 27 matches across all competitions and have won their last two with over 2.5 goals, hence our prediction for a decisive home win.

Morocco enters this clash in strong form, having gone 27 matches across all competitions without defeat (W21, D6). The 2026 Africa Cup of Nations champions will be eager to keep the momentum rolling as they fine-tune preparations for football's grandest stage.

In their recent match, the Atlas Lions beat Burundi 5-0 at Mohammed VI Football Academy, marking their second consecutive friendly success since a 2-1 victory over Paraguay on March 31.

Madagascar are also enjoying a fine run of form, having lost just one of their last seven matches across all competitions (W5, D1). 

That solitary defeat came against Mali in the final round of the FIFA World Cup African qualifiers, where they finished as runners-up in Group I but failed to advance to the regional playoffs due to being one of the worst-ranked second teams.

Barea returns to the international stage for the first time since a 1-1 away draw to Equatorial Guinea on March 31 in a friendly game. That result halted a two-match winning streak.

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Morocco v Madagascar Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.07 7.4 19
Melbet
1.05 14 30
Betwinner
1.1 10 21
Bet365
1.09 10 21
Roobet
1.09 9.8 20
Check all Morocco vs Madagascar odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and Madagascar?

Our prediction for the Morocco vs Madagascar match is: Morocco wins and over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/06/2026 between Morocco and Madagascar in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.3% for a win of Morocco against Madagascar with odds of 1.11 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs Madagascar is 23.08% with odds of 14 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Madagascar vs Morocco with odds of 30 at Melbet.

Morocco - Madagascar Prediction and Best Odds:

Morocco Madagascar Prediction Probability Odds
Morocco wins 56.3% 1.11 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 51.43% 1.36 at Stake
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time / Full-time : Morocco/Morocco 24.66% 1.4 at Bet365

Morocco vs Madagascar Form

Morocco and Madagascar Last Matches

Morocco
Morocco Last matches
W D L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
5 :  0
Burundi

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
2 :  1
Paraguay

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  1
Ecuador

18 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Morocco

14 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
0 :  0
Morocco

9 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Cameroon
0 :  2
Morocco
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
5 :  0
Burundi

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
2 :  1
Paraguay

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  1
Ecuador

4 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  0
Tanzania

26 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Mali

21 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
2 :  0
Comoros
D W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Morocco

14 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Nigeria
0 :  0
Morocco

9 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Cameroon
0 :  2
Morocco

29 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  3
Morocco

18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
2 :  3
Morocco

5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Oman
0 :  0
Morocco
Madagascar
Madagascar Last matches
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  1
Madagascar

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan
2 :  5
Madagascar

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  2
Madagascar

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Mali
4 :  1
Madagascar

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Comoros
1 :  2
Madagascar

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Madagascar
3 :  1
Chad
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Madagascar
3 :  1
Chad

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Madagascar
2 :  0
Central African Republic

30 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
2 :  3
Morocco

26 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
1 :  0
Sudan

13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
2 :  0
Central African Republic

3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
0 :  0
Mauritania
D W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  1
Madagascar

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan
2 :  5
Madagascar

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  2
Madagascar

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Mali
4 :  1
Madagascar

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Comoros
1 :  2
Madagascar

22 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Kenya
1 :  1
Madagascar

Morocco vs Madagascar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Morocco

100 %

Draw

0 %

Madagascar

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
2 :  3
Morocco
Morocco vs Madagascar Prediction

Morocco - Madagascar Key Points

  1. Morocco have won three of their last four matches.
  2. Madagascar have seen three of their last six matches end with over 3.5 goals.
  3. Morocco won the previous matchup between the two teams 3-2.
  4. Madagascar have won just one of their last three away matches with over 3.5 goals in two of those outings.
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Our Morocco vs Madagascar Prediction

Morocco and Madagascar enter this clash in fine form, but the former is more likely to secure a win in front of their home crowd because of the disparity in class and quality between the two teams.

For Madagascar, this is their opportunity to exact revenge for their 3-2 defeat against this opponent in the Africa Cup of Nations in August 2025. However, that'll prove an arduous task, as they take on a side that has scored seven goals in two matches and boasts one of the most potent attacks in the competition. Our Morocco vs Madagascar prediction: Morocco wins and over 3.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Morocco wins and over 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Morocco Madagascar

Morocco vs Madagascar Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Morocco wins 1.13 1.11 -1.8%
Draw 7 14 +100.0%
Madagascar wins 21 30 +42.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Morocco is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 88.5% and is now 90.1% (1.6%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.