Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco host Toulouse this weekend, looking to maintain their strong start to the French Ligue 1. With five matches played, Monaco top the standings and are eight points clear of their 13th-placed visitors. As they come here unbeaten in their five league games, our prediction backs Monaco to prevail.
Monaco will be keen to cement top spot with a fifth win in six outings here. Le Rocher are one of the three teams yet to taste defeat in Ligue 1. Actually, at home and in Europe, they have won all but one of their matches.
Filipe Luis' men have accumulated 13 points and have a two-point cushion at the top. They have a 100% record at home and defeated Lens 2-1 right before the international break.
Toulouse went into the recess with a hard-fought and morale-boosting 3-2 win at home over Le Havre. That victory marked Jean Berthel Askou's men's first win of the season.
The visitors have started the season poorly and will hope the lengthy break hasn't killed off the steam from that exciting five-goal thriller.
They sit just above the bottom three, having accumulated five points. Toulouse haven't won in four meetings with Monaco, losing in each of their latest two trips to the French Riviera during this stretch.
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Monaco v Toulouse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.58 | 4.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.47 | 5.44 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.3 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.3 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.3 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Toulouse match is: Monaco wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Monaco and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.25% for a win of Monaco against Toulouse with odds of 1.65 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Toulouse is 25.3% with odds of 4.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Monaco with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
Monaco vs Toulouse Form
Monaco and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 |
|
13
|
5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
Monaco and Toulouse Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
Missing players
P. Brunner
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Toulouse
P. Brunner
(4 Goals)
C. Tengstedt
(3 Goals)
C. Casseres Jr
(4 Assists)
Monaco and Toulouse Stats in Ligue 1
Monaco - Toulouse Key Points
- Monaco have won four of their five league matches.
- Toulouse are winless in four of five league outings, losing twice.
- Monaco have conceded just three league goals this season.
- In their last seven away games, Toulouse lost three times.
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Our Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction
Monaco are having a strong start to the season and now look to keep the momentum going. They lead, and only once in five outings have they failed to pick up all three points. Toulouse, on the other hand, have blown more cold than hot, losing more games than they have won.
Struggling on the road going back to last season, the visitors now face a team that has won every game it has played at home. Monaco are also one of the better defensive sides in France. Our prediction for Monaco v Toulouse is that Monaco wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
