France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco have blown hot and cold so far this season but will hope to return to winning ways when they welcome Nice. This Ligue 1 match finds Monaco in fourth and Nice in 12th. Below is our prediction.
Monaco came from behind to draw Manchester City in the Champions League, an indicator that they can stand up to the best. However, their 3-1 loss to Lorient in the last league game paints a grim story about their consistency.
Returning home, where they have three straight wins in Ligue 1, offers some good hope. They also beat Nice in their last meeting, and the optimism levels will be high.
Nice are enduring a tough start, and having to play domestically and in Europe doesn’t help. Les Aiglons are fresh from a 2-1 loss to Fenerbahce, away in Turkey.
They have to settle back in as fast as possible as they look to address a four-game winless streak. In that period, they suffered three defeats and could only draw 1-1 with newly promoted Paris FC.
Seven defeats in 10 matches across all competitions suggest the need for an urgent change. This looks even more demanding with a glimpse of their away run. Across all competitions, Nice lost the last five away games.
They also suffered defeat in six of their last 10 visits to Monaco.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Nice Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.75 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.75 | 3.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Nice?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Nice match is: Monaco wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Monaco and Nice in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.83% for a win of Monaco against Nice with odds of 2 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Nice is 11.5% with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Monaco with odds of 4 at Betfred.
Monaco - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 62.83% | 2 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.01% | 1.55 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 80.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Monaco/Monaco | 34.32% | 3 at Bet365 |
Monaco vs Nice Form
Monaco and Nice's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
|
9
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 |
Monaco and Nice Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1
Monaco against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
L. Hradecky
DefenderC. Mawissa
Vanderson
T. Kehrer
MidfielderA. Golovin
D. Zakaria
P. Pogba
A. Bamba
M. Abdel Monem
Dante
MidfielderY. Ndayishimiye
T. Ndombele
G. Bernardeau
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Nice
A. Fati
(6 Goals)
S. Diop
(6 Goals)
K. Ouattara
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Minamino
(3 Assists)
,
M. Akliouche
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Camara
(3 Assists)
H. Boudaoui
(4 Assists)
Monaco - Nice Key Points
- Nice lost six of the last 10 matches away to Monaco.
- Nice have suffered defeat in all of their last five away matches.
- Monaco have posted three straight home wins in Ligue 1.
- Monaco are unbeaten in their last 10 matches at home.
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Our Monaco vs Nice Prediction
Monaco have a superb run of form at home; in their last 10 matches there, they are unbeaten and have won eight of them. When hosting Nice, Monaco posted six wins in the last 10 matches, a run they will be keen on extending here as they look to bounce back to winning ways.
Nice, on their part; they are having a difficult season. In their 10 matches so far, they have managed just two wins and lost seven. Each of their away matches this season ended in defeat. Our prediction for Monaco v Nice is that Monaco wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Nice
| Monaco vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 1.65 | 1.91 | +15.8% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 3.75 | -8.5% |
| Nice wins | 4.5 | 3.8 | -15.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 52.4% (-8.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Monaco vs. Nice game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Monaco and Nice when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
