France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco’s journey in Europe started on a sour note, but they have the chance to bounce back in domestic action. Returning to Ligue 1 action, Monaco will host Metz, looking to build on their strong start in the competition. We have a prediction for this match below.
Monaco’s recent rise was given a reality check; out in Belgium, they were thrashed 4-1 by Club Brugge in the Champions League. That called for more scrutiny on their back line, and the same will be the focus here, as they have no clean sheet in Ligue 1.
They do have three wins in four league matches, though, and can put their focus on outscoring their opponents as a strategy.
Metz came very close to winning their first game of the season last time out. At 1-0 up against Angers, Habib Diallo missed a penalty, and then they conceded one in stoppage time, which Angers converted.
A very frustrating day at home; the match ended 1-1 and left Metz rock bottom. This was another instance of Metz’s inability to close out a match, the same having occurred in the 3-2 loss to Paris FC earlier.
In all this, however, there is a silver lining; Metz have been able to score in back-to-back matches, and they will be targeting a shock result here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Metz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 6.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 6 | 8.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Metz?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Metz match is: both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2025 between Monaco and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.15% for a win of Monaco against Metz with odds of 1.33 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Metz is 6.79% with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Monaco with odds of 9 at Betfred.
Monaco - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 71.15% | 1.33 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.81% | 1.42 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Monaco/Monaco | 43.82% | 1.85 at Unibet |
Monaco vs Metz Form
Monaco and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
|
14
|
11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 |
Monaco and Metz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2025 - Ligue 1
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Monaco vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2021 - French Cup
3 Apr 2021 - Ligue 1
Players list
P. Kohn
DefenderT. Kehrer
J. Teze
E. Dier
C. Henrique
MidfielderK. Diatta
L. Camara
M. Akliouche
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
ForwardG. Ilenikhena
A. Fati
J. Fischer
DefenderM. Colin
T. Yegbe
M. Bokele
A. Toure
G. Tsitaishvili
MidfielderJ. Gbamin
I. Guerti
ForwardG. Hein
C. Sabaly
H. Diallo
Substitutes
Y. Lienard
DefenderM. Salisu
C. Henrique
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
M. Coulibaly
K. Diatta
F. Balogun
G. Ilenikhena
A. Fati
P. Sy
DefenderI. Sane
C. Melieres
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
G. Tsitaishvili
A. Toure
I. Guerti
B. Madjo
M. Bokele
Missing players
L. Hradecky
MidfielderP. Pogba
D. Zakaria
A. Golovin
U. Mboula
ForwardM. Mbaye
S. Sane
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Metz
A. Fati
(6 Goals)
G. Hein
(4 Goals)
K. Ouattara
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Minamino
(3 Assists)
,
M. Akliouche
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Camara
(3 Assists)
G. Hein
(2 Assists)
Monaco - Metz Key Points
- Both teams scored in Metz’s last two matches.
- Two of Metz’s last three matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Four of Monaco’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Monaco scored three goals twice in their four league matches.
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Our Monaco vs Metz Prediction
Monaco and Metz have both had questions asked about their defending. The one rare commodity in these teams’ matches has been a clean sheet, and we may not see one here either. We also have to acknowledge the teams’ scoring form in recent matches.
Monaco failed to score just once in the five matches they’ve played this season. Metz also scored in their last two matches, while they have no clean sheet this season. Our prediction for Monaco v Metz is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Metz
| Monaco vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 1.33 | 1.3 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 6.25 | +13.6% |
| Metz wins | 8 | 8 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 76.9% (1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Monaco vs. Metz game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Monaco and Metz? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
