Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in FA Cup Predictions
Round 3 in the FA Cup kicks off on Friday night with Milton Keynes Dons taking on Oxford United at Stadium MK. The Dons are fifth in the League Two standings, while the U’s are 23rd in the Championship. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Milton Keynes Dons defeated Colchester United 3-2 and Oldham Athletic 3-1 in the first two rounds of this competition. This is the first time they’ve reached the third round since 2020-21.
The Dons played to a 2-2 draw over the weekend against Chesterfield in League Two. They have a record of W2 D3 L1 in their last six games and scored two or more goals in six of their last 10 in all competitions.
The hosts have been difficult to overcome at home lately, currently unbeaten in their last seven games (W4 D3), while having only lost once since the start of October last year.
Meanwhile, Oxford United will be playing their first match in this season's FA Cup this weekend. They have not got beyond the third round of this competition since the 2019-20 campaign.
The U’s are having a tough time in the Championship this season, currently second bottom in the league standings. They lost to Ipswich 2-1 on New Year's Day, which was their fourth loss in their last five games.
The visitors have only won two of 13 away games this season (D3 L8) and are winless in their last three matches against this opponent.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Milton Keynes Dons v Oxford United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.43 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.38 | 2.29 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.5 | 2.48 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Milton Keynes Dons and Oxford United?
Our prediction for the Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/01/2026 between Milton Keynes Dons and Oxford United in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.17% for a win of Milton Keynes Dons against Oxford United with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United is 33.98% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 2.48 at Tonybet.
Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Milton Keynes Dons Oxford United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons wins | 52.17% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.15% | 1.91 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Milton Keynes Dons/Milton Keynes Dons | 29.43% | 5 at Bet365 |
Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United Form
Milton Keynes Dons and Oxford United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - League Two
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
29 Dec 2025 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
20 Dec 2025 - League Two
13 Dec 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - League Two
29 Dec 2025 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
13 Dec 2025 - League Two
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
29 Nov 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
20 Dec 2025 - League Two
9 Dec 2025 - League Two
22 Nov 2025 - League Two
8 Nov 2025 - League Two
1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
28 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
Players list
C. MacGillivray
DefenderC. Nelson
G. Jones
J. Mellish
J. Sanders
MidfielderA. Gilbey
L. Kelly
B. Wiles
L. Offord
ForwardC. Paterson
A. Collins
J. Cumming
DefenderS. Long
M. Helik
C. Brown
J. Currie
MidfielderY. Konak
B. De Keersmaecker
S. Mills
C. Brannagan
M. Peart-Harris
ForwardW. Lankshear
Substitutes
C. Trueman
DefenderM. Ekpiteta
MidfielderD. Crowley
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
J. Matete
ForwardS. Hogan
A. Nemane
M. Ingram
DefenderG. Leigh
B. Spencer
MidfielderM. Phillips
S. Dembele
F. Krastev
W. Vaulks
ForwardO. Romeny
M. Harris
Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United Key Points
- Seven of MK Dons’ last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- MK Dons have only failed to score in one of their last 13 home games.
- Seven of Oxford United’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Oxford United have only kept one clean sheet in 13 away games this season.
- Both teams scored in each of the last three games between these sides at this venue.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
Our Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United Prediction
While Oxford United enter this match as the favourites, they are having a very poor season in the Championship, currently languishing second-bottom in the league standings, and they have only won two away games from 13 this term.
The Dons, on the other hand, are trending upward, albeit in the fourth division. Still, with home advantage and decent form, we fancy the hosts to get on the scoresheet in this one. Our Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Milton Keynes Dons Oxford United
| Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons wins | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Oxford United wins | 1.96 | 2.48 | +26.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Milton Keynes Dons is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 33.3% (2.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Milton Keynes Dons vs. Oxford United game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Milton Keynes Dons and Oxford United when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on FA Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
