Millwall vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
Millwall and Derby are set to battle for three Championship points this Saturday. Hosted by Millwall, both sides come desperate to rise from winless outings that left Millwall 13th and Derby 10 paces lower. Millwall haven’t lost in seven meetings with Derby, and our prediction backs them to extend that.
Going into the 13th round of matches, Millwall have a three-match winless run to stop. Fortunately, they have a superb record against Derby.
Last time out, the Lions were beaten 2-1 at Portsmouth, handing them a fifth defeat of the campaign and second in three matches. They’ve only managed two wins in six at home and will be motivated to make it two wins in two when hosting Derby.
It is tempting to feel this match doesn’t look promising for Derby, but in reality this should be said of their entire season. The most discouraging bit about the Rams isn’t that they have only bagged three points from their last nine matches, losing six times in that period.
This season, in its entirety, Derby have only managed one win in their 13 matches. That was in a win against Portsmouth. That victory came on an away day, and they will be hoping to make it two here, even with their poor record in this fixture.
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Millwall v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.68 | 3.80 | 4.70 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.85 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.85 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.85 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.85 | 4.66 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Derby County match is: Millwall to win & under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/10/2026 between Millwall and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.06% for a win of Millwall against Derby County with odds of 1.75 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Derby County is 32.27% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Millwall with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Millwall vs Derby County Form
Millwall and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 |
|
23
|
7 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 |
Millwall and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Championship
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Sept 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
2 Sept 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
15 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Championship
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Championship
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
Millwall vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Feb 2019 - Championship
18 Aug 2018 - Championship
Millwall vs Derby County last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Evans
DefenderE. Baggott
J. Osei-Tutu
MidfielderR. Leonard
R. Esse
D. Kelly
M. Sykes
A. Doughty
ForwardM. Ivanovic
J. Vickers
DefenderJ. Robinson
M. Johnston
MidfielderA. Mowatt
F. Bilbija
O. Fraulo
ForwardL. Salvesen
C. Blackett-Taylor
M. Fuseini
Missing players
L. Jensen
F. Marshall
DefenderC. De Norre
MidfielderR. Leonard
ForwardM. Servais
T. Arconte
J. Coburn
C. Forsyth
C. Taylor
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
E. Cashin
S. Langas
MidfielderL. Travis
ForwardP. Agyemang
Most goals and assists
Millwall
Derby County
L. Dykes
(4 Goals)
S. Szmodics
(3 Goals)
, 
B. Clark
(3 Goals)
J. Metcalfe
(2 Assists)
,
J. Cooper
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Neghli
(2 Assists)
B. Clark
(2 Assists)
Millwall and Derby County Stats in Championship
Millwall - Derby County Key Points
- Millwall have won three more matches than Derby.
- Derby are winless in four away matches.
- Millwall are unbeaten in seven against Derby.
- The last four meetings between these sides had under 2.5 goals.
- Only one of Derby’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Millwall vs Derby County Prediction
Millwall will be desperate to get back to the form that got them to the playoffs last season, which has recently lacked. This match, though, might help move them closer there. They are unbeaten in the last seven meetings with Derby County, with four wins coming off those matches.
One of their wins was when they last hosted this match, and given Derby’s struggles on the road and poor scoring returns, we could be in for a low-scoring game. Our prediction for Millwall v Derby County is for Millwall to win & under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
