Millwall vs Bristol City Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Millwall slipped out of the Championship promotion play-off positions on Boxing Day. Monday sees the seventh-placed Lions host the team who took their place in the play-offs, Bristol City who are sixth in the table. Time for our match prediction.
The home side were held to a goalless home draw on Boxing Day by Derby County. That took their winless league run to four matches but they are only outside of the top six on goal difference.
Just one point has been earned from their last three league fixtures. Their last league win was on December 6 and that was in the reverse fixture away at Bristol City, winning the game 1-0. Four of the last five games between these two clubs have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Bristol City won away at West Brom on Boxing Day, their second successive win in the Championship. Only one of their last four league games has been lost and that was to top-of-the-table Coventry City.
On the road this season, the Robins have earned 18 points from 11 games, two fewer than Millwall's home league total. Two of their last four away league matches have been won, the other two lost.
We go for under 2.5 goals in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Millwall v Bristol City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 3 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.35 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Bristol City?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Bristol City match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Millwall and Bristol City in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.28% for a win of Millwall against Bristol City with odds of 2.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Bristol City is 26.08% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Bristol City vs Millwall with odds of 3.19 at 888Starz.
Millwall - Bristol City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Bristol City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 45.28% | 2.5 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 65.71% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 44.17% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall | 23.44% | 5.75 at Ladbrokes |
Millwall vs Bristol City Form
Millwall and Bristol City's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
39 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | -5 |
|
8
|
36 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Millwall and Bristol City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
7 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
Millwall vs Bristol City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
29 Dec 2022 - Championship
2 Jan 2022 - Championship
Millwall against Bristol City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
L. Jensen
DefenderC. De Norre
MidfielderB. Baker
M. Luongo
W. Smallbone
D. Mazou-Sacko
L. Cundle
D. Kelly
F. Azeez
ForwardJ. Coburn
R. Vitek
DefenderL. McNally
MidfielderJ. Williams
M. Bird
M. Sykes
Most goals and assists
Millwall
Bristol City
F. Azeez
(6 Goals)
E. Riis
(7 Goals)
, 
A. Mehmeti
(7 Goals)
T. Ballo
(4 Assists)
A. Mehmeti
(6 Assists)
Millwall - Bristol City Key Points
- Three of the last five Millwall home league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Under 2.5 goals were scored in four of the last five games between these two clubs.
- Five of the last seven Bristol City games have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of City's 11 away league games this season.
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Our Millwall vs Bristol City Prediction
Millwall can climb back into the promotion play-off places if they can beat sixth-placed Bristol City at home. The LIons are struggling for wins at present but their last victory did come against City at the start of December.
Four games without a win have been played since then with only a couple of goals scored. Bristol City are chasing a third successive away league victory. This looks like being a low-scoring affair and our Millwall v Bristol City prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Bristol City
| Millwall vs Bristol City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 2.3 | 2.35 | +2.2% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0% |
| Bristol City wins | 2.82 | 2.95 | +4.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 42.6% (-0.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Millwall vs. Bristol City game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
