Gabon vs Ivory Coast Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in AFCON Predictions
The already-eliminated Gabon will look to play for pride and make things tougher for Ivory Coast, who are still in the battle to directly qualify for the knockouts. This will be the matchday three contest from Group F of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) and will be played in Marrakesh on Wednesday. This match between the fourth-placed Panthers and the first-placed Elephants comes with our prediction of a win for Ivory Coast to nil.
Gabon lost both their matches in this competition (L2), and even if they win here, they are guaranteed to finish fourth because of an inferior head-to-head record against Cameroon and Mozambique. Ivory Coast have four points (W1, D1) and are ahead of Cameroon only on fair play / disciplinary points.
The Elephants have conceded just once in this tournament and have been tight at the back, allowing only four shots on target. Will that be a critical factor in deciding the fate of this match? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Gabon v Ivory Coast Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.2 | 3.95 | 1.54 |
|
|
6.2 | 3.98 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.77 | 3.81 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.8 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.8 | 3.8 | 1.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gabon and Ivory Coast?
Our prediction for the Gabon vs Ivory Coast match is: Cote d'Ivoire win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/12/2025 between Gabon and Ivory Coast in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.7% for a win of Gabon against Ivory Coast with odds of 6.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gabon vs Ivory Coast is 25.96% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Ivory Coast vs Gabon with odds of 1.62 at Betwinner.
Gabon - Ivory Coast Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gabon Ivory Coast Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Coast wins | 45.34% | 1.62 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 65.48% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 81.25% | 1.75 at LSbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ivory Coast | 18.01% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Gabon vs Ivory Coast Form
Gabon and Ivory Coast's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
Gabon and Ivory Coast Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Gabon vs Ivory Coast Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Gabon - Ivory Coast: Form Analysis
Gabon lost to Cameroon 1-0 on matchday one and then followed it up with a 3-2 defeat at the hands of Mozambique. The loss to Mozambique would have hurt, as they conceded all three goals in a 15-minute period between 37 and 52 minutes.
These losses meant that the Panthers were knocked out of the group stages for the fifth time in the last seven AFCON appearances. They will hope for a better finish, although they had no such fortune against Ivory Coast in the two World Cup qualifiers played in the recent qualification cycle.
Ivory Coast kept a clean sheet against Gabon in three of their last four games, including the last two.
The Elephants started the tournament with a 1-0 win against Mozambique and then followed it up with a 1-1 draw against Cameroon. The stalemate against Cameroon saw both goals scored by Ivory Coast players!
A win will guarantee the top spot in the group for Ivory Coast, and any other result will require them to await the other result to see where they finish. The tie-breaker between Ivory Coast and Cameroon could make for fascinating viewing, with the sides right now separated by fair play points: Ivory Coast -3 versus Cameroon -4.
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Gabon against Ivory Coast Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Ngoubi
L. Mbaba
DefenderA. Oyono
Y. M'Bemba
J. Obiang
A. Appindangoye
B. Ecuele
MidfielderE. Baboue Bocoum
C. Loufilou
A. Do Marcolino
S. Nze Bagnama
S. Babicka
E. Essang-Matouti
R. Openda
M. Evouna
Y. Fofana
M. Kone
DefenderO. Kossounou
G. Doue
E. Ndicka
W. Boly
G. Konan
MidfielderJ. Gbamin
S. Fofana
I. Sangare
ForwardY. Diomande
E. Guessand
A. Diallo
B. Toure
Missing players
U. Mboula
Gabon & Ivory Coast Squad Analysis
Gabon seem to have no fresh injury concerns or any disciplinary absences. They started the tournament with a 4-4-2 formation against Cameroon but reverted to a more dynamic 4-3-3 system against Mozambique.
Although both matches saw them lose by a single-goal margin, the Panthers are likely to stick to the system that served them well against Mozambique. That would leave the veteran striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang as the focal point of their attacks.
Aubameyang is Gabon’s record scorer with 40 goals, including one on matchday two.
Ivory Coast are also at full strength with no absences due to injuries or discipline. The Elephants have used their traditional 4-3-3 system in both the matches so far and are likely to stick to that.
That system will pivot around Amad Diallo on the right flank, with the Manchester United starlet scoring both their goals in this tournament. The likes of Yan Diomande and Wilfried Zaha are yet to fire for Ivory Coast, while captain Franck Kessie will anchor their midfield in what would be his 99th appearance for the Elephants.
Most goals and assists
Gabon
Ivory Coast
P. Aubameyang
(1 Goals)
,
A. Moussounda
(1 Goals)
,
G. Kanga
(1 Goals)
,
D. Bouanga
(1 Goals)
A. Diallo
(3 Goals)
C. Operi
(2 Assists)
Gabon - Ivory Coast Key Points
- Ivory Coast allowed just four shots on target in their two matches in this tournament.
- Ivory Coast kept a clean sheet in seven of their last nine matches.
- Ivory Coast have four wins from their last six matches, losing only once.
- Gabon failed to score a goal in their last two matches against Ivory Coast in the recent World Cup qualifiers.
- Gabon lost their three recent fixtures, one in additional extra time.
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Our Gabon vs Ivory Coast Prediction
Gabon are already eliminated from the qualification race, as they can’t better their fourth position even with a win. Ivory Coast, on the other hand, are not guaranteed where they will finish. The Elephants have an edge over Cameroon, starting this round at the top of the table, and need to do better or replicate Cameroon’s result against Mozambique without degrading their disciplinary advantage over them. All these permutations can be swatted aside with a win.
The Elephants look well-placed defensively, and our Gabon vs Cote d'Ivoire prediction is Cote d'Ivoire win to nil.
Gabon vs Ivory Coast Alternative Predictions
Amad Diallo to score anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gabon Ivory Coast
| Gabon vs Ivory Coast | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon wins | 7 | 6.4 | -8.6% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.2 | +7.7% |
| Ivory Coast wins | 1.49 | 1.62 | +8.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ivory Coast is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 61.7% (-5.4%)
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Gabon vs Ivory Coast - FAQs
The Gabon vs Cote d’Ivoire AFCON Group E match will be played at the neutral venue of Marrakesh Stadium in Marrakesh. This venue was completed in January 2012 with a view of hosting Olympic Games. It is home venue to Kawkab Marrakesh football team and has a capacity of 45,240 spectators.
It is also one of the potential venues for the 2030 FIFA World Cup which Morocco will co-host along with Portugal and Spain. This will be the sixth group stage game the Marrakesh Stadium has hosted in this competition. Beyond these, it will also host one round of 16 fixture (Winner Group F vs Runner-up Group E), and the third quarter-final of the roster.
The Gabon vs Cote d’Ivoire AFCON match will be televised live on Channel 4, E4 and 4seven in the UK. Live streaming can also be viewed on Channel 4, as well as Channel 4 Sport YouTube.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our AFCON Livescore page!
Egypt is the most successful nation in the history of AFCON, winning seven titles. The last of those wins came in 2010, and they have also been runners-up on three occasions, the last coming in 2021.
Cameroon are next in that list with five tournament wins, the last coming in 2017. Ghana won the competition four times, while Nigeria and Ivory Coast have had three wins each.
Ivory Coast are the defending champions from the 2023 edition.
The 24 teams are divided into six groups, with the top two teams of each group advancing to the round of 16. Joining them would be the best four third-placed teams.
Group A: Morocco, Mali, Zambia, Comoros.
Group B: Egypt, South Africa, Angola, Zimbabwe.
Group C: Nigeria, Tunisia, Uganda, Tanzania.
Group D: Senegal, DR Congo, Benin, Botswana.
Group E: Algeria, Burkina Faso, Equatorial Guinea, Sudan.
Group F: Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Gabon, Mozambique.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
