Hull vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions
In-form Hull City plays host to Stoke City on New Year’s Day in the 25th round in the Championship. The two sides seek to push their promotion agenda, with Hull sitting fourth, six places ahead of Stoke. We have a prediction for the match below.
A fine run in the past five matchdays has lifted Hull City to within 10 points of the league leaders, Coventry. The Tigers have been gaining steam and are coming from a key victory.
They claimed a 1-0 away win at Middlesbrough last weekend, lifting them to 41 points. That was their fourth triumph in five league games, making them the best-performing side across those rounds.
Meanwhile, Stoke City have been one of the weakest, with just one win in their last five outings. For a side that at one point looked like a serious top-six contender, they have really dropped.
Here they are coming off a 2-1 home loss to Sheffield United. That was their 10th league loss of the season, leaving them on 34 points. No other team has lost as much in the top 15.
It gets worse seeing that they have only managed 14 points on the road. The Potters have suffered four straight away losses.
Perhaps some consolation will come from the fact that Stoke have won in each of their last four visits here.
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Hull v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.27 | 3.3 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.22 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.24 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hull and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Hull vs Stoke match is: Hull wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2026 between Hull and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.77% for a win of Hull against Stoke with odds of 2.45 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hull vs Stoke is 14.16% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Hull with odds of 3.44 at Melbet.
Hull - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hull Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hull wins | 53.77% | 2.45 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.63% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hull | 22.98% | 6 at LSbet |
Hull vs Stoke Form
Hull and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
73 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Hull and Stoke Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
Hull vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2024 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
24 Sept 2023 - Championship
15 Apr 2017 - Premier League
Hull against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Phillips
DefenderS. Ashbee
C. McCarthy
J. Furlong
MidfielderK. Palmer
A. Hadziahmetovic
D. Akintola
E. Destan
J. Ndala
J. Bonham
DefenderS. Agina
J. Bickerton
MidfielderS. Nzonzi
T. Seko
M. Manhoef
D. Mubama
F. Fawunmi
S. Gallagher
Missing players
N. Tinsdale
V. Johansson
Most goals and assists
Hull
Stoke
O. McBurnie
(18 Goals)
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
O. McBurnie
(8 Assists)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
Hull - Stoke Key Points
- Hull City are unbeaten in five matches, winning four.
- Hull City won three of their last five meetings with Stoke.
- Away from home, Stoke City are on four straight defeats.
- Stoke City suffered three defeats in their last five matches.
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Our Hull vs Stoke Prediction
Hull City have this season only lost once at home to a team outside the top four. Out of their 41 points, 23 have come at home. With that, they will be confident of ending Stoke City’s impressive away record in this match.
As far as going for a top six slot is concerned, Hull City have been gaining as Stoke slips down the table. It means the hosts come here in good shape. Our prediction for Hull City v Stoke City is that Hull wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hull Stoke
| Hull vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull wins | 2.5 | 2.45 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.45 | +4.5% |
| Stoke wins | 2.9 | 3.44 | +18.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hull is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 40.8% (0.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
