Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough are third in the Championship but have only won one of their last four league games. This weekend they begin life under new boss Kim Hellberg as Boro host in-form Derby who are seventh in the table. Read our match prediction below.
Hellberg was in charge of Hammarby and he replaced Rob Edwards who now coaches Wolves. Boro lost 4-2 at home to leaders Coventry City in midweek. That was their first home league defeat of the season after five wins and two draws.
Current form has dipped with only one of their last three home league matches won with both teams scoring in the last four.
Derby County are only a point outside the top six. The Rams are third in a form guide for the last five games. Midweek saw them get a 2-1 away win at Swansea City. Six of their last seven league games have been won as they recover from a slow start to the season.
On the road this season, County have won four of their eight league fixtures with two draws and a couple of defeats. Each of their last five league games has seen both teams score.We tip that statistic to come up again this weekend.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Middlesbrough v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.86 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.55 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.44 | 3.84 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.35 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Derby County match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Middlesbrough and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.86% for a win of Middlesbrough against Derby County with odds of 1.98 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Derby County is 28.68% with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Middlesbrough with odds of 4.76 at LSbet.
Middlesbrough - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Middlesbrough Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 36.46% | 4.76 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.29% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Derby County/Derby County | 16.78% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Middlesbrough vs Derby County Form
Middlesbrough and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
49 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +12 |
|
12
|
38 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
Middlesbrough and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
17 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
19 Sept 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
1 Jan 2019 - Championship
27 Oct 2018 - Championship
Middlesbrough against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Mclaughlin
DefenderA. Baptiste
A. Gilbert
M. Hamilton
S. Nypan
R. McGree
D. Strelec
M. Sene
S. Silvera
J. Vickers
DefenderR. Nyambe
C. Forsyth
C. Nelson
MidfielderL. Thompson
O. Eames
ForwardC. Blackett-Taylor
K. Jackson
A. Weimann
Missing players
S. Dieng
DefenderD. Lenihan
O. Beck
MidfielderD. Ozoh
ForwardC. Morris
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Derby County
M. Whittaker
(10 Goals)
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(4 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(4 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(4 Assists)
J. Ward
(7 Assists)
Middlesbrough - Derby County Key Points
- Both teams have scored in three of Boro's last five home games against Derby County.
- Derby's last five games have all seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Both teams have scored in five of Boro's last six games.
- The last four Middlesbrough home league games have seen both teams score.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction
This looks like being a fascinating Championship fixture. Middlesbrough have a new coach in charge but have slipped out of the automatic promotion places while making the appointment. A form guide for the last five league games has them in only 16th place.
Derby County made a poor start to the season but that five-game form guide has the Rams in third place. They won away in midweek but do tend to score and concede regularly. Our Middlesbrough v Derby prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Derby County
| Middlesbrough vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 1.74 | 1.98 | +13.8% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | 0% |
| Derby County wins | 4.59 | 4.76 | +3.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.8% and is now 21.0% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Middlesbrough vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Middlesbrough and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
