Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Thobelani Moyo | in NBA Predictions
The Miami Heat and the Houston Rockets will battle it out at Kaseya Center in an NBA cross-conference clash. The Heat are in eighth place in the Eastern Conference standings, while the Rockets are third in the Western Conference standings. Here's our match prediction.
The Miami Heat comes into this match off the back of a disappointing result against the 76ers on the first night of a back-to-back. Away from home, they succumbed to a 124-117 defeat.
While that marked their second consecutive defeat, it is a decline in form for a side that had been on a three-match winning streak.
The Heat are at home this time around. Their recent performances at home have left much to be desired, with the team losing four of their last six matches. A recent triumph over the Grizzlies ended a two-match winless run.
The Houston Rockets are in good spirits heading into this clash. They have won six of their last eight matches and are currently riding a three-match winning streak.
Their most recent triumph came against the Magic away from home. The team secured a hard-fought 113-108 victory. Kevin Durant was the man of the moment as he led the team with a game-high 40 points.
The Rockets are on the road, and their performances leading up to this match have been impressive. They have won six of their last seven matches.
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Miami Heat v Houston Rockets Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 1.74 |
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2.12 | 1.72 |
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2.12 | 1.72 |
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2.16 | 1.73 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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Who will win the Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets match is: Houston Rockets -1.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets game on 28/02/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Miami Heat has a 54.33% chance to pick up the win against Houston Rockets according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.16.
- There is a probability of 45.67% ⭐ for Houston Rockets to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 1.74 at Bet365.
Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Form
Miami Heat and Houston Rockets's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.634 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 1 |
|
17
|
0.524 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 2 |
Miami Heat and Houston Rockets Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Feb 2026 - NBA
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11 Feb 2026 - NBA
9 Feb 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
21 Feb 2026 - NBA
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28 Jan 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Feb 2026 - NBA
24 Feb 2026 - NBA
20 Feb 2026 - NBA
11 Feb 2026 - NBA
8 Feb 2026 - NBA
6 Feb 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Feb 2026 - NBA
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21 Feb 2026 - NBA
19 Feb 2026 - NBA
11 Feb 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Feb 2026 - NBA
23 Feb 2026 - NBA
11 Feb 2026 - NBA
10 Feb 2026 - NBA
5 Feb 2026 - NBA
4 Feb 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Feb 2026 - NBA
21 Feb 2026 - NBA
19 Feb 2026 - NBA
7 Feb 2026 - NBA
2 Feb 2026 - NBA
29 Jan 2026 - NBA
Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
21 Mar 2025 - NBA
29 Dec 2024 - NBA
5 Apr 2024 - NBA
8 Jan 2024 - NBA
15 Dec 2022 - NBA
7 Mar 2022 - NBA
Players list
P. Larsson
D. Mitchell
T. Herro
A. Wiggins
A. Thompson
R. Sheppard
T. Eason
K. Durant
Substitutes
K. Jakucionis
J. Young
D. Smith
M. Gardner
N. Jovic
J. Jaquez Jr.
K. Johnson
S. Fontecchio
A. Holiday
J. Okogie
J. Green
I. Crawford
J. Smith
D. Finney-Smith
Miami Heat - Houston Rockets Key Points
- The Heat have lost their last two matches.
- The Rockets have covered the -1.5 point spread in each of their last three games.
- The Heat are 1-2 against the spread when playing at home.
- The Rockets have covered the -1.5 point spread in six of their last eight away matches.
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Our Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction
The Miami Heat are without their best player, Nikola Jovic, who is recovering from a lower back injury. The Heat are 1-2 against the spread without Jovic, and there's reason to believe they could struggle in this one.
The Houston Rockets are playing good basketball at the moment and should be able to come away with a positive result. The Rockets won the previous matchup between the two sides 102-98, and a similar outcome where they are expected to cover is on the cards. Our Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets prediction: Houston Rockets -1.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
