Mexico vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
After thrashing one 2026 World Cup co-host, Belgium are turning their focus on to another. They are set to face Mexico in their second warmup of the current international break. This will be the fifth meeting between the two sides, and we have a prediction for the match below.
Mexico have never lost to Belgium before, but they’ve struggled a bit in defence in this encounter. El Tri conceded six goals in the last three meetings with Belgium, the latest being a 3-3 outcome nine years ago.
The hosts warmed up for this with a tough outing, playing out a 0-0 draw with Portugal. Though failing to win for the first time in four games, they’ll still be happy that they kept a fourth straight clean sheet.
Belgium will be coming here on a high after thrashing World Cup co-hosts, the USA, 5-2 on Saturday. However, it was another depiction of the European nation’s defensive shortcomings.
They lack the defensive solidity to match their attacking prowess, having conceded five in the last four games. Belgium netted 17 times in those four matches and across their last 10 games, they scored 3+ in seven.
That, and their scoring record against Mexico should work perfectly in their search for a first win in this fixture. The Red Devils are unbeaten in 10 matches ahead of this, having won seven.
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Mexico v Belgium Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.45 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.6 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.54 | 3.5 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.5 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.55 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Belgium?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Belgium match is: Belgium to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/03/2026 between Mexico and Belgium in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.58% for a win of Mexico against Belgium with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Belgium is 42.24% with odds of 3.6 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Belgium vs Mexico with odds of 2.06 at Betwinner.
Mexico - Belgium Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Belgium Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42.24% | 3.6 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.88 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 21.13% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Mexico vs Belgium Form
Mexico and Belgium Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
Mexico vs Belgium Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Nov 2017 - International Friendlies
Mexico vs Belgium last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Acevedo
G. Ochoa
DefenderJ. Angulo
I. Reyes
E. del Villar
MidfielderR. Ledezma
D. Garcia
O. Vargas
C. Rodriguez
E. Sanchez
A. Gonzalez
R. Alvarado
G. Martinez
G. Berterame
A. Vega
S. Lammens
M. Vandevoordt
DefenderA. Theate
Z. Debast
J. Seys
B. Mechele
T. Meunier
N. De Cat
A. Onana
N. Raskin
A. Saelemaekers
C. De Ketelaere
L. Stassin
J. Doku
Missing players
L. Trossard
Mexico - Belgium Key Points
- Belgium are unbeaten in 10 matches, winning seven.
- Mexico have only managed three wins in their last 10 games.
- Belgium have scored 3+ goals seven times in the last 10 outings.
- Each of the last three meetings between these nations had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Mexico vs Belgium Prediction
There is a big likelihood that this game will produce a high score. Each of the last three meetings between these teams had at least three goals scored, the latest yielding six. Mexico may be a tough one to crack defensively, but Belgium come loaded in attack, having netted 17 times in just their last four matches.
While the European nation has been that good in attack, they’ve shown some shakiness in defence. With such, our prediction for Mexico v Belgium is for Belgium to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Belgium
| Mexico vs Belgium | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 2.85 | 3.65 | +28.1% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.6 | +7.5% |
| Belgium wins | 2.3 | 2.06 | -10.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.9% and is now 27.8% (-2.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Mexico vs. Belgium game!
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Try your luck on this year's International Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
