Metz vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco will be away to relegation-bound Metz this weekend in the French Ligue 1. Heading into matchday 32, Monaco are seventh, two points behind European football slots, whereas Metz are at the bottom. Here's a look at our prediction for this match.
Metz are on their way back to the second division. Defeat this weekend will confirm automatic relegation. The Maroons have accumulated 16 points and are nine points from the relegation playoff position.
They are having one of the worst seasons in the French top-flight. Metz have won just three of their 31 fixtures. They have lost a league-leading 21 games and have conceded a massive 70 goals. Benoit Tavenot’s men, who are without a win in 2026, drew 4-4 with Le Havre last weekend.
Monaco are looking to qualify for Europe and will settle for nothing less than a win against the league’s whipping boys. Le Rocher have racked up 51 points and find themselves two points from the European places.
They have won 15 games and shared the spoils in a further six fixtures. Sebastian Pocognoli’s men have hit a snag in recent weeks and will be keen to arrest this situation. Monaco haven’t won any of their last three fixtures.
Before this run, they had won five in a row. The visitors, who won the reverse meetings with Metz 5-2, drew 2-2 at Toulouse last weekend.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Metz v Monaco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.8 | 5.8 | 1.39 |
|
|
7.3 | 5.8 | 1.34 |
|
|
7.4 | 5.75 | 1.34 |
|
|
7 | 5.5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 5.6 | 1.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Monaco?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Monaco match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Metz and Monaco in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 7.61% for a win of Metz against Monaco with odds of 8 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Monaco is 28.48% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 63.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Metz with odds of 1.39 at Stake.
Metz - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 63.91% | 1.39 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.83% | |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Monaco/Monaco | 27.32% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Metz vs Monaco Form
Metz and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Monaco Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2021 - French Cup
Metz against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
J. Fischer
DefenderM. Diop
M. Colin
MidfielderJ. Pandore
G. Abuashvili
U. Mboula
I. Guerti
B. Munongo
H. Diallo
P. Kohn
DefenderC. Henrique
E. Dier
W. Faes
MidfielderM. Coulibaly
A. Bamba
I. Toure
ForwardA. Fati
M. Biereth
Missing players
O. Ba
DefenderK. Kouao
C. Melieres
MidfielderB. Traore
A. Toure
ForwardL. Michal
M. Salisu
Vanderson
K. Ouattara
MidfielderT. Minamino
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
ForwardP. Brunner
Most goals and assists
Metz
Monaco
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
F. Balogun
(13 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
Metz - Monaco Key Points
- Metz have conceded at least three goals in six of their last 10 games.
- Metz's 31 league matches have had 101 goals.
- Monaco failed to score more than once in one of their last 10 matches.
- Seven goals were scored in the last two meetings between Monaco and Metz.
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Our Metz vs Monaco Prediction
Our prediction for Metz vs Monaco is for more than 3.5 goals. This fixture has been one of the high-scoring matchups recently in the French top-flight. The last two meetings between Metz and Monaco have each produced seven goals, with the latter scoring five times on each occasion.
There is a strong chance that we will see another high-scoring affair in this latest duel. Metz have the worst defensive record in Ligue 1 as they have conceded a whopping 70 goals in 31 games. Seeing them concede at least three goals a game has been the story of their season. And they now face one of the more potent sides in France.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Monaco
| Metz vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 5.5 | 8 | +45.5% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 6 | +33.3% |
| Monaco wins | 1.55 | 1.39 | -10.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 71.9% (7.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
