ATP - ATP US Open
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by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions
Matteo Arnaldi will take on 19th seed Francisco Cerundolo in the opening round of the US Open. This is their first career meeting, and the winner will battle Leandro Riedi or Pedro Martinez next. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Matteo Arnaldi has never lost a first-round tie at Flushing Meadows. He has made it to at least the third round in both of his appearances. As he returns to the tournament, he will hope to continue this streak to try and offset his struggles.
Arnaldi has been lacklustre this year and with an 18-19 record, has dropped to 70th in the live ranking. The 24-year-old is seeking to end a run of three successive defeats.
Francisco Cerundolo has won his opener here in the last two seasons. He, however, has never made it past the second round, and this is something he will be keen to accomplish this time.
Though he has been sluggish in recent weeks, Cerundolo has had a stronger season than Arnaldi. With a 31-18 record, he has stretched his record of winning at least 30 matches to a ninth straight season.
Cerundolo, who was last in action in Toronto, starts a new week placed 18th in the live rankings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Francisco Cerundolo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.05 | 1.7 |
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2.08 | 1.75 |
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolo match is: Francisco Cerundolo wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolo game on 26/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 45.43% chance to win against Francisco Cerundolo according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 2.24.
- Francisco Cerundolo has a 54.57% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 1.79 at 22bet.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 45.43 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 45.43 % |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 54.57 % |
Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolo Form
Matteo Arnaldi and Francisco Cerundolo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Matteo Arnaldi - Francisco Cerundolo Key Points
- Arnaldi has lost his last three matches.
- Cerundolo has won 31 contests in 2025.
- On hard courts, Cerundolo has managed 10 victories in the last 15 outings.
- Six of Arnaldi’s last 10 fixtures on hard courts have ended in defeat.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction
Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Francisco Cerundolo is that Francisco Cerundolo wins the match. Cerundolo has had a rough couple of weeks, but still arrives for this tie in much better form than Arnaldi.
He has won twice in his last three fixtures, while Arnaldi is without a victory in the same stretch of matches. Perhaps what has us more convinced of a win for the Argentinian is his form on hard courts. Cerundolo is having one of his best campaigns on hard courts, winning over 60% of his matches.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Matteo Arnaldi or Francisco Cerundolo , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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