ATP - ATP Vienna
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Qualifier Matteo Arnaldi faces a tough task in round two of the indoor hard court Erste Open. The Italian takes on second-seeded Alexander Zverev for a place in the quarter-finals. Here's our match prediction.
The winner of this match will face unseeded opposition in the last eight. That'll be either Tallon Griekspoor or Brandon Nakashima.
Zverev also faced a qualifier in round one of this tournament in Vienna. He took on Jacob Fearnley and won in straight sets. A tie-break was needed to clinch the match. The German has now won 25 of his 36 hard court matches this year. The win over Fearnley was his first indoor hard court win of 2025.
Arnaldi has already played five-and-a-half hours in this tournament. He had to play two qualifiers but won both in straight sets. Round one saw Matteo Arnaldi beat fellow qualifier Aleksandar Kovacevic in straight sets. He's now 65th in the live rankings but that's 62 places below his opponent.
Arnaldi is attempting to reach his third ATP Tour hard court quarter-final of 2025. However, he hasn't won two successive matches in the main draw of an ATP Tour event since Washington in July.
We tip Alexander Zverev to win this in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Zverev Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.75 | 1.29 |
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3.6 | 1.29 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.4 | 1.3 |
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3.8 | 1.27 |
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev match is: Alexander Zverev to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev game on 23/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 34.28% chance to win against Alexander Zverev according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 3.8.
- Alexander Zverev has a 65.72% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 1.33 at Bwin.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 34.28 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 34.28 % |
| Alexander Zverev | 65.72 % |
Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev Form
Matteo Arnaldi and Alexander Zverev Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
19 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
18 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
15 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
21 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
15 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Zeverev is 62 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Only three players have earned more ranking points in 2025 than Zverev.
- Arnaldi hasn't won two successive ATP Tour main draw matches since July.
- Zverev leads Arnaldi 2-0 in previous matches. Both were won this year and on hard courts.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Alexander Zverev is closing in on qualifying for the Tour Finals. He can take another step by making it into the Erste Open quarter-finals. No seeded players stand between the German and a place in the last four.
He takes on qualifier Matteo Arnaldi in round two of this indoor hard court tournament. He's already defeated Arnaldi twice this year (both on hard courts) and should be able to do so again. Our Matteo Arnaldi v Alexander Zverev prediction is Alexander Zverev to win in straight sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Matteo Arnaldi or Alexander Zverev, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
