France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille and Monaco will close the 16th round of matches in Ligue 1 when they face off at Stade Velodrome. Defeats in the last round left Marseille third and Monaco seventh in the league standings. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Marseille, who two matchdays ago spurned the chance to go top, are now five points adrift of the league leaders, Lens. They are coming off two winless outings, a 2-2 draw with Toulouse at home and a 1-0 defeat at Lille.
Les Phoceens have a respectable record at home, having claimed 17 of their 30 points there. They are unbeaten at home in their seven Ligue 1 matches at the Velodrome.
Monaco’s main undoing in the season has been an inconsistent run. They’ve been so shaky, and finding themselves outside the top six is somewhat justified.
After beating champions PSG in the 14th round, they were expected to start a good run. That didn’t materialize as they fell 1-0 to Brest in their latest league match.
Les Monegasques calmed nerves with a 1-0 win at home to Galatasaray in the Champions League and will be looking to build on it. A three-match winless run away from home will be among the impediments for Paul Pogba and his teammates.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Monaco Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.9 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.7 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.83 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Monaco?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Monaco match is: Marseille wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between Marseille and Monaco in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.31% for a win of Marseille against Monaco with odds of 1.92 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Monaco is 28.8% with odds of 4.02 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Marseille with odds of 4.17 at 888Starz.
Marseille vs Monaco Form
Marseille and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
29 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
|
7
|
23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Marseille and Monaco Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Monaco last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
F. Medina
A. Murillo
MidfielderH. Traore
ForwardA. Gouiri
C. Mawissa
E. Dier
T. Kehrer
MidfielderD. Zakaria
ForwardA. Fati
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Monaco
M. Greenwood
(13 Goals)
F. Balogun
(7 Goals)
P. Aubameyang
(9 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(4 Assists)
Marseille and Monaco Stats in Ligue 1
Marseille - Monaco Key Points
- Monaco lost three of their last six matches.
- In the last six matches, Marseille only lost once.
- Marseille won seven of their last 10 home games.
- Monaco have won only three of their last 10 away matches.
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Our Marseille vs Monaco Prediction
Marseille have been shaky in their recent matches, and this has really cost them, especially in their last two outings. They are in danger of going three league games winless for the first time since March. However, Monaco’s recent form will leave Marseille confident of improving their own form.
Monaco have been inconsistent and come here on four defeats in five outings. They have just three wins in the last 10 on the road, further complicating things. Our prediction for Marseille v Monaco is that Marseille wins.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Marseille vs. Monaco game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Marseille and Monaco when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
