Marseille vs Monaco Prediction - Ligue 1

Predictions Odds Live

France - Ligue 1

Marseille

14/12/2025 14:45

Monaco

Prediction :

Marseille wins

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Prediction published on 14/12/2025, 06:44 by Nella Wagah | Modified on 14/12/2025 at 16:50 in Ligue 1 Predictions

Marseille and Monaco will close the 16th round of matches in Ligue 1 when they face off at Stade Velodrome. Defeats in the last round left Marseille third and Monaco seventh in the league standings. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Marseille, who two matchdays ago spurned the chance to go top, are now five points adrift of the league leaders, Lens. They are coming off two winless outings, a 2-2 draw with Toulouse at home and a 1-0 defeat at Lille.

Les Phoceens have a respectable record at home, having claimed 17 of their 30 points there. They are unbeaten at home in their seven Ligue 1 matches at the Velodrome.

Monaco’s main undoing in the season has been an inconsistent run. They’ve been so shaky, and finding themselves outside the top six is somewhat justified.

After beating champions PSG in the 14th round, they were expected to start a good run. That didn’t materialize as they fell 1-0 to Brest in their latest league match.

Les Monegasques calmed nerves with a 1-0 win at home to Galatasaray in the Champions League and will be looking to build on it. A three-match winless run away from home will be among the impediments for Paul Pogba and his teammates.

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Marseille v Monaco Best Betting Odds

1	X	2
2	3.55	3.55
2.02	3.64	3.52
2.06	3.52	3.52
2.05	3.5	3.5
2.04	3.5	3.45

Check all Marseille vs Monaco odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Monaco?

Our prediction for the Marseille vs Monaco match is: Marseille wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between Marseille and Monaco in Ligue 1 :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.93% for a win of Marseille against Monaco with odds of 2.1 at 888Starz.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Monaco is 28.89% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 29.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Marseille with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.

Marseille - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:

Marseille Monaco Prediction	Probability	Odds
Marseille wins	41.93%	2.1 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals	67.68%	1.9 at Stake
Both Team To Score	66.25%
Half-time: Monaco / Full-time: Marseille	16.49%	22 at LSbet

Marseille vs Monaco Form

Marseille and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	+18
7 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	+6

Marseille and Monaco Last Matches

Marseille Last matches

All Home Away

W W W D L W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise

2 : 3

Marseille

5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 0

Marseille

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Toulouse

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille

2 : 1

Newcastle

21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice

1 : 5

Marseille

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 0

Brest

W D L W W D

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Toulouse

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille

2 : 1

Newcastle

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 0

Brest

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille

0 : 1

Atalanta

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Angers

18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille

6 : 2

Le Havre

L L W W L W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise

2 : 3

Marseille

5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille

1 : 0

Marseille

21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice

1 : 5

Marseille

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 1

Marseille

25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens

2 : 1

Marseille

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon

2 : 1

Marseille

Monaco Last matches

All Home Away

L L D W L W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Monaco

1 : 0

Galatasaray

5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest

1 : 0

Monaco

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 0

PSG

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC

2 : 2

Monaco

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes

4 : 1

Monaco

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 4

Lens

D W L L W W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals

17% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Monaco

1 : 0

Galatasaray

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 0

PSG

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 4

Lens

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

0 : 1

Paris FC

25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 0

Toulouse

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Monaco

0 : 0

Tottenham

D W W L D L

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest

1 : 0

Monaco

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC

2 : 2

Monaco

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes

4 : 1

Monaco

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt

0 : 1

Monaco

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes

3 : 5

Monaco

18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers

1 : 1

Monaco

Marseille vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

33 %

Draw

33 %

Monaco

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67

Total goals

83.33%

BTTS

1.67

Goals scored

Goals conceded

83.33%

Over 2.5

16.67%

Under 2.5

12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

3 : 0

Marseille

1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 1

Monaco

27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Monaco

30 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco

3 : 2

Marseille

28 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

1 : 1

Monaco

13 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1

Monaco

2 : 3

Marseille

Marseille against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

G. Rulli

A. Murillo

B. Pavard

N. Aguerd

P. Hojbjerg

A. Vermeeren

G. Kondogbia

T. Weah

Emerson

M. Greenwood

P. Aubameyang

F. Balogun

A. Golovin

T. Minamino

M. Akliouche

D. Zakaria

L. Camara

C. Henrique

M. Salisu

T. Kehrer

Vanderson

L. Hradecky

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Monaco

Substitutes

Marseille

Goalkeeper

J. De Lange

Defender

L. Balerdi

A. Murillo 58'

C. Egan Riley

Midfielder

A. Gomes

M. O'Riley

G. Kondogbia 46'

B. Nadir

A. Vermeeren 81'

D. Bakola

P. Aubameyang 86'

Forward

R. Vaz

I. Paixao

B. Pavard 58'

Monaco

Goalkeeper

P. Kohn

Defender

C. Mawissa

K. Ouattara

J. Teze

A. Golovin 74'

E. Dier

Midfielder

S. Idumbo-Muzambo

M. Coulibaly

Forward

M. Biereth

T. Minamino 87'

G. Ilenikhena

L. Camara 87'

Missing players

Marseille

Defender

F. Medina

Midfielder

H. Traore

Forward

A. Gouiri

Monaco

Midfielder

P. Pogba

Forward

A. Fati

Most goals and assists

Marseille

Monaco

Top Goalscorer

M. Greenwood (16 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

F. Balogun (13 Goals)

Best assists

M. Greenwood (8 Assists)

Best assists

M. Akliouche (6 Assists)

Marseille - Monaco Key Points

Monaco lost three of their last six matches.
In the last six matches, Marseille only lost once.
Marseille won seven of their last 10 home games.
Monaco have won only three of their last 10 away matches.

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Our Marseille vs Monaco Prediction

Marseille have been shaky in their recent matches, and this has really cost them, especially in their last two outings. They are in danger of going three league games winless for the first time since March. However, Monaco’s recent form will leave Marseille confident of improving their own form.

Monaco have been inconsistent and come here on four defeats in five outings. They have just three wins in the last 10 on the road, further complicating things. Our prediction for Marseille v Monaco is that Marseille wins.

Prediction :

Marseille wins

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Monaco

Marseille vs Monaco	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Marseille wins	1.86	2.1	+12.9%
Draw	4.24	4	-5.7%
Monaco wins	4.14	3.7	-10.6%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

Marseille is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have increased by 12.9% since opening
The probability of this result was 53.8% and is now 47.6% (-6.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

Marseille v Monaco Best Betting Odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Monaco?

Marseille - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:

Marseille vs Monaco Form

Marseille and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1

Marseille and Monaco Last Matches

Marseille vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11

Substitutes

Missing players

Most goals and assists

Marseille - Monaco Key Points

Our Marseille vs Monaco Prediction

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Monaco