Brentford vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brentford
14/12/2025 11:30
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Brentford wins

2.2
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

In the past few weeks Leeds United have boosted their Premier League survival chances with positive results, and they have another chance this weekend. The Peacocks will be keen on keeping the good run going when they travel to London to take on Brentford in their next game. The hosts haven't had a run to remember in the same period and will be here looking to rise from two straight defeats. We have a prediction for the match below.

Brentford return home after two London derbies away from home. Those ended in defeat, and the Bees are left on 19 points, in 14th place. Two points and two places behind are Leeds United, who responded to their three straight defeats with a win and a draw in their latest two outings.

Being just two points above the relegation region, Leeds United will also be looking to post a third unbeaten outing to open a gap.

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The Best Betting Odds for Brentford v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.15 3.3 3.6
Stake
2.2 3.35 3.65
Melbet
2.06 3.28 3.8
BC Game
2.12 3.2 3.55
Tonybet
1.98 3.5 4.2
Check all Brentford vs Leeds odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Brentford vs Leeds match is: Brentford wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between Brentford and Leeds in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.9% for a win of Brentford against Leeds with odds of 2.2 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Leeds is 18.6% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Brentford with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.

Brentford - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:

Brentford Leeds Prediction Probability Odds
Brentford wins 57.9% 2.2 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 63.19% 2.15 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 68.33%
Half-time / Full-time : Brentford/Brentford 20.47% 3.5 at Bet365

Brentford vs Leeds Form

Brentford and Leeds's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Brentford
Brentford
33 21 10 3 8 +7
16
Leeds
Leeds
22 21 5 7 9 -8

Brentford and Leeds Last Matches

Brentford
Brentford Last matches
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Brentford

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Brentford
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Manchester United

16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Brentford
1 :  1
Aston Villa
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Brentford

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Brentford

28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
0 :  5
Brentford

20 Oct 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Brentford
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
L L L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds
D L W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

24 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

Brentford vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brentford

17 %

Draw

50 %

Leeds

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

22 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Brentford

3 Sept 2022 - Premier League

Brentford
5 :  2
Leeds

22 May 2022 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  2
Leeds

5 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Brentford

11 Feb 2020 - Championship

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

21 Aug 2019 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  0
Brentford

Brentford - Leeds: Form Analysis

Brentford can once again spark some life into their league campaign as they return home. They are coming from identical 2-0 defeats at Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur in their most recent matches.

Those results underlined their away-day struggles, but things have been better at home. The only time they lost at home this season was against Manchester City, a 1-0 defeat.

The Bees last played at home at the end of November, and their 3-1 win over Burnley was a third straight victory at the Brentford Community Stadium. In four of their last five home matches, Brentford scored three goals, but they have no clean sheet at home in the last six.

Brentford have registered four wins in their last five home matches.

Leeds United have done well in their last two matches, both of which were at home. First, they pounced on a wobbly Chelsea side with a 3-1 win before rallying to draw 3-3 with champions Liverpool.

The real challenge now comes when they get out of their comfort zone. Away from Elland Road, Leeds have suffered. They are winless in their last four matches on the road, losing all. 

This season in their eight away matches so far, Leeds United managed just one win, against bottom side Wolverhampton Wanderers.

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Brentford against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Brentford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
C. Kelleher
33
M. Kayode
22
N. Collins
4
S. Van den Berg
2
A. Hickey
6
J. Henderson
27
V. Janelt
19
D. Ouattara
8
M. Jensen
23
K. Lewis-Potter
9
I. Thiago
19
N. Okafor
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
3
G. Gudmundsson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
22
A. Tanaka
2
J. Bogle
5
P. Struijk
15
J. Bijol
6
J. Rodon
1
L. Perri

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Leeds

Substitutes

Brentford
Brentford
Goalkeeper

H. Valdimarsson

Defender

E. Pinnock

K. Ajer

M. Jensen 80'

R. Henry

A. Hickey 61'

Midfielder

R. Donovan

F. Onyeka

M. Peart-Harris

Y. Yarmoliuk

V. Janelt 80'

Forward

M. Damsgaard

K. Lewis-Potter 60'

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

K. Darlow

Defender

J. Justin

G. Gudmundsson 89'

S. Bornauw

S. Byram

Midfielder

J. Harrison

N. Okafor 90'

B. Aaronson

A. Tanaka 73'

I. Gruev

Forward

J. Piroe

G. Wilfried

J. Bijol 73'

Missing players

Brentford
Brentford
Midfielder

J. Da Silva

F. Carvalho

A. Milambo

Leeds
Leeds
Forward

D. James

Brentford & Leeds Squad Analysis

After an injury-ravaged first season at Brentford, Brazilian forward Igor Thiago is on the rise at the team. When many wondered how Brentford would cope with the departures of Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo, Thiago has provided the answers.

He has 12 goals from his 16 appearances so far and will be a favorite to extend his scoring run here.

The striker might, however, be called upon to do more work with Kevin Schade suspended for the game after accumulating five yellow cards. With Reiss Nelson returning to the team, though, the blow will be softer.

Dango Ouattara will play his last game before leaving for the AFCON to represent Burkina Faso.

At Leeds United, Lukas Nmecha will not have the chance to add to his four goals this season. He is ruled out of this game with a hamstring injury, which will see him sit out the remainder of 2025.

In Nmecha’s absence, though, Leeds can bank on Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s rise. The forward has scored in each of the last three matches and has four league goals.

Coming into this game, he has an xG of 4.65 and will be looking to add to his tally.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brentford
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Thiago (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (9 Goals)
Best assists
Germany V. Janelt (4 Assists)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (3 Assists)

Brentford - Leeds Key Points

  1. Leeds United lost four straight away matches.
  2. Brentford have posted three wins in the last three home games.
  3. In eight home matches this season across all competitions, Brentford suffered just one defeat.
  4. Leeds United have lost six of their seven Premier League away matches.
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Our Brentford vs Leeds Prediction

Two straight defeats have left Brentford looking over their shoulder, and they know what is required of them here. Fortunately, they have a good run at home and will be looking to invoke that as they host a side on a poor away run.

In their last three home matches, Brentford registered straight wins. Leeds will be out to break that run, but they are poor on the road and could struggle here. Our prediction for Brentford v Leeds United is that Brentford wins.

Prediction :

 

Brentford wins

2.2
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Brentford vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.9

Four times in their last five home matches, Brentford scored three goals. Five of the eight games they’ve hosted this season ended up seeing at least three goals scored. The same was the case in the last two meetings between these teams. The last five meetings between them when hosted by Brentford produced 3.5 goals on average. Our second prediction, based on that, is over 2.5 goals.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Leeds

Brentford vs Leeds Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Brentford wins 2.01 2.2 +9.5%
Draw 3.7 3.5 -5.4%
Leeds wins 3.7 4.2 +13.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Brentford is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 9.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 49.8% and is now 45.5% (-4.3%)

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Brentford vs Leeds - FAQs

The Brentford v Leeds United match is scheduled for Sunday, 14th December.

The Brentford v Leeds United match will be played at the Brentford Community Stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brentford vs Leeds Prediction